For the first time ever, we're launching the NFL playoff simulator ahead of NFL Week 1. That means [checks notes] today! nytimes.com/athletic/interac…
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We've rebuilt it from scratch this year with a ton of new features we've always wanted to add (and more are coming). The header itself is a visualization of thousands of season simulations, colored by season outcome

Sep 9, 2026 · 11:02 AM UTC

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Our index page also has a more probabilistic projection of the playoff picture by seed, which we think is a more useful view than what you might typically find. It will become less uncertain as the season unfolds.
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For the first time, we have a page dedicated to @amock419's individual game forecasts each week — a common reader request last year nytimes.com/athletic/interac…
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Team pages also now help you see where your team is in the overall playoff picture, updating as you make choices
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And on the team details page, we have a bunch of new charts, including one showing the records you'll need to make the playoffs and a detailed table of what seed you might get at a specific record
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As always, these projects are the work of a team of people at @theathletic, all with different skills, from UX, design, statistics, modeling, computation, web development, ball-knowing (the authors) and sending 50000 slack messages (skye and me). Lots more coming!
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