Every AI job starts with a number nobody can defend. How many GPUs, how much memory, how long the walltime. Ask for too little and the job dies hours in. Ask for too much and expensive hardware sits reserved and idle while the next job waits in the queue.
@ismaeel_bashir_ lived that ritual from the inside. In his master's year at Edinburgh's parallel computing centre, he built a model that predicted what a job on the national supercomputer would need before it ran. Then he went to run machine learning at one of the world's largest quant hedge funds, and the same guessing game was waiting there, except the stakes were GPUs nobody can buy.
In October 2025 he founded
@ExpanseCompute with three fellow Edinburgh graduates,
@nkdem_b,
@erenzmendi03 and
@yafet_melake. Two of them were still students.
On September 16, Expanse announced a $5.3M seed round led by
@crane_vc, with PXN Ventures and angels including former DeepMind researchers and AI infrastructure leaders, per HPCwire.
The thesis fits in one of Bashir's lines: "The machine should carry the uncertainty, not the person." Expanse predicts exactly what a workload needs before a single GPU is committed, reading the job's code, the cluster's record of similar runs and the available hardware. It runs inside the customer's own environment, on Slurm, Kubernetes and the major clouds, so code and data never leave.
The number that stuck with me is from the company's own launch post. In one cluster, Expanse measured nearly $8M of idle compute capacity in a single month. Not a projection. Measured.
The backdrop makes the timing obvious. Industry estimates put roughly 30% of cloud spend lost to over-allocation, and Microsoft Research has reported GPU utilization around 50% across many internal deep learning workloads. GPUs are the scarcest resource in the industry, and half of them are being paid to wait.
Crane wrote this check on September 16, then showed up in Outerlimit's $16M pre-seed a week later. Two infrastructure seed bets in six days tells me Crane has decided where the next margin in AI compute gets made.
Congrats Ismaeel, Nikodem, Eren and Yafet, and the entire Expanse team.
Up and to the right my friends! 💥🚀💪