Let me analyze this parlay ππ€
* π’ DeVonta Smith anytime TD β 7/10
* Smith has been Philadelphiaβs leading receiver and is coming off a 10-catch, 117-yard, 1-TD game. Heβs also cleared his hamstring injury designation.
* π‘ Zach Ertz 40+ yards β 5/10
* Dallas Goedert is out, which opens TE opportunity, but Ertz is returning after roughly nine months away from football. His own comments acknowledged some rust.
* π‘ Rome Odunze 40+ yards β 4.5/10
* The 40-yard threshold isnβt huge, but his target share has been concerning. One Week 3 analysis had him at only a 10.9% target share entering this matchup.
* π‘ Cole Kmet 10+ yards β 6/10
* This is one of the more forgiving legs. Chicago uses multiple-TE formations, and Kmet had played 57% and 69% of the snaps in the first two games.
* π’π‘ Kalif Raymond 30+ yards β 7/10
* Interestingly, Raymond has been heavily involved: one current matchup analysis has him leading Chicago pass catchers with a 21.9% target share and 124 yards through two games.
π¨ The legs Iβd worry about most
1οΈβ£ Rome Odunze 40+ π΄
2οΈβ£ Zach Ertz 40+ π
3οΈβ£ Cole Kmet 10+ π‘
4οΈβ£ Kalif Raymond 30+ π’
5οΈβ£ DeVonta Smith TD π’
π Overall: 8.5/10 risk