If 1/n people are infected with a disease, a gathering of .7n people is likely to include at least one infected person.
E.g. if 1% of people are infected, n = 100, so any gathering of 70 or more people probably includes an infected person.
Will the rallies continue until super-spreading is proved?
UW's
@trvrb estimates ~570 cases in WA, a state of 7.5 million. So an event with >9120 people chosen at random from WA has >50% chance of having at least one case.
That's how super-spreading happens. Here's the math.