NFL Projections Lead @EstablishTheRun
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Sam Cosmi out this week is a brutal runout with Laremy Tunsil & Jayden Daniels already sidelined and this Seahawks defense coming to town.
Commanders have a lower implied team total than the Dolphins right now on FanDuel.
U 16.5 -125 for Commanders
U 16.5 -108 for Dolphins
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
Never a good sign when the broadcast starts zooming in on the moon
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Drake London would’ve been fantasy’s WR3 with Penix last season. Great to see this connection thrive immediately again in 2026
Drake London's played in 12 games with Michael Penix as the starting QB:
*33.5% tgt share
*35.2% TPRR
*11.1 tgts/game
*96.8 rec yds/game
*17.1 half-PPR pts/game
In 52 games with non-Penix QBs:
*25% tgt share
*26.8% TPRR
*7.2 tgts/game
*55.4 rec yds/game
*9.4 half-PPR pts/game
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In a world of aggregation, it's even more valuable to get these quotes directly from the horse's mouth.
Way more nuanced than the headline of "Bucky is on a bit of a pitch count" you'll see out there today
(Sorry for calling you a horse, Zac Robinson)
Irving’s carries will follow game flow as staff monitors long-season wear
Zac Robinson: “I think it’ll be flow of the game and knowing that it is a long season. We have two, really three, four backs when you include Josh Williams too that we feel good about. But yeah, it’s really a feel for the flow. Sometimes, if you catch a hot hand and he ends up with 22 carries and you win the football game, then you don’t think twice about it. But we do wanna be mindful of that, knowing that we’re gonna need Bucky for the long haul. Still early on in the season here, still guys getting their breath and getting used to game shape and all those things that come with it. So it is something we monitor, but there might be games where we just need it and he’s running well and we just keep rolling with him.”
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Week 2 was a bloodbath with massive impacts across our ROS Top 150 Rankings.
Talked through the biggest movers and injury fallout with @JackMiller02, @notJDaigle & @adamlevitan
- Dart, Jameis, & Giants outlook
- Commanders sans Jayden
- Falcons with Penix back
- Packers pass catchers w/o Jayden Reed
- Bryce Young breakout szn?
- Colts w/o Alec Pierce
piped.video/watch?v=p4y_K7Fi…
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Just trying to be a multi-sport draftlete out here.
Finished 8th in the Double Dribble last season and landed two finals teams thanks to the great rankings & content from @EstablishRunNBA
Best Ball season certainly isn't over... I'll see you in the lobbies
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Texans were down Nico Collins (and Jayden Higgins) in Week 2 and decided to trot out 11 personnel on 87% of their offensive snaps.
That's Houston's highest 11 personnel usage since the start of the 2024 season.
Stroud also attempted a career-high 55 pass attempts 🤷♂️
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Tyler Warren has a negative aDOT on 12 targets this season. He has 34 yards on 9 catches, the fewest yards of any player with 9+ catches this season.
Think folks would be panicking if he hadn't scored twice. TDs (or lack thereof) dictate so much of the narrative around players, especially early in the season.
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
New show up. I went Team-by-Team with @evansilva, discussing everything we saw in Week 2 and what it means going forward.
Free here: piped.video/Ew29DikIynk?is=R08d…
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
Cool Matthew Stafford moment last night with "nickel's coming"
Found a similar play where a different QB decisively did not ID that the nickel was coming, lol
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Brutal news for Bako-Bewele and a Packers OL already ranked 32nd by @BrandonThornNFL in Week 2
The Packers have lost RT Zach Bako-Bewele for the season. He said today that he sustained a complete tear of his patellar tendon on Sunday. It’s same one he partially tore last year. He’s facing another surgery and long rehab. When healthy, he has been their best O-lineman.
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Christian Watson (16.2 xFP) and Matthew Golden (15.1 xFP) are both top 15 in expected PPR fantasy points (xFP) through 2 weeks.
They'll face an Atlanta secondary on Thursday night which just got diced by Bryce Young and placed CB1 AJ Terrell on IR.
Jayden Reed is also expected to miss this week...
Watson & Golden 🚀🚀
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Drake London's played in 12 games with Michael Penix as the starting QB:
*33.5% tgt share
*35.2% TPRR
*11.1 tgts/game
*96.8 rec yds/game
*17.1 half-PPR pts/game
In 52 games with non-Penix QBs:
*25% tgt share
*26.8% TPRR
*7.2 tgts/game
*55.4 rec yds/game
*9.4 half-PPR pts/game
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Final box score tally is a little misleading on the Bijan/Brian Robinson touch split in Week 2.
Bijan had 15 carries & 4 targets going into Jack Strand's first drive with 4:27 left in 3Q with Falcons down 27-3. Brian had 3 carries & 0 targets.
From that point on, Brian had 8 carries & 2 tgts, Bijan 1 carry
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Jeremiyah Love out-touched Tyler Allgeier 12-to-7 in Week 2, but was still well behind in snaps played.
Allgeier 64%, Love 40% snaps in Week 2
Love's 3 targets on 8 routes is nice to see, but let's get the No. 3 pick in the draft some more snaps, eh?
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Trey McBride's been on another planet at tight end since Jacoby Brissett took over in Week 6 of last season.
* 150 targets in 14 games (50 more tgts than any other TE)
* 27.3% tgt share (+4.3% on Bowers in 2nd)
* 17.1 half-PPR points per game (+3.3 clear of Bowers in 2nd)
In raw fantasy points, McBride has scored 239 half-PPR points in those 14 games. George Kittle is the next closest in that span with 141.
Just insane gaps across the board for McBride
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Travis Hunter 2026 usage watch...
Week 2:
6 offensive snaps (10%)
37 defensive snaps (60%)
Hunter averaged 69.4 total snaps per game in 2025. He's at 38.0 per game through two weeks of his sophomore season.
Travis Hunter 2026 usage watch...
Week 1:
4 offensive snaps (7%)
29 defensive snaps (57%)
Worth noting Jags sat starters on both sides with healthy lead against the Browns.
In 8 games last season, Hunter averaged:
67% offensive snaps
36% defensive snaps
Big change!
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