Many people are saying we're in a bubble. Here's what the 2000 and 2007 tops had in common. Different causes, same sequence: 1. Yields topped first 2. Stocks topped second 3. Commodities topped last If something bigger is coming, this may be the order to watch.

The S&P 500 hasn't closed down 1%+ in 49 straight sessions. Last time we saw a streak this long? July 2024 (52 days), which was followed by a 8-10% correction into early August. Before that? Oct 9, 2019 → Jan 24, 2020 (74 days) without a 1% down close, right before the COVID crash. This is NOT a crash call. It's an observation. H/T: Tier1Alpha

Weekly expected moves for $MAGS curtesy of @MarketMike. I watch his vids every week, great data and expected moves i watch every week as crucial levels.

I'm so grateful for the support so far, we're halfway to our goal. Every donation helps us get closer to making a real difference in the fight against cancer. If you're able, please consider donating or sharing this with others, your support means the world. Thank you! 💙 gofund.me/2c2277fbd My Milage Update: 22.5 / 100

Please cite this

Please cite next time

Nobody’s really talking about this divergence. In 2005, the Housing Index topped and quietly bled lower while the S&P kept making new highs for over a year. That wasn’t “the cause” of the financial crisis, but it was one of the cleaner tells that something under the surface had already broken.​ Today we’re seeing a similar pattern: housing (yellow) has been trending down while the S&P (red) pushes to new highs again. If this ends up mattering, it will be considered obvious in hindsight. If it doesn’t, it’s still a good reminder that important sectors often rolls over long before the index does. I’m not making a crash call here, I just like keeping an eye on the parts of the market that stopped agreeing with the headline narrative a long time ago. That’s where the best signals usually show up first.

the Collar was rolled EOD to these final strikes: 6110 / 7245 Put Spread vs. 8060 Call a 3k lot carbon copy traded alongside in the SPX (which intrigues me)

$SPY closed slightly down in the month of September. Lots of chop overall. Today we started off with a morning drive to the upper daily expected move. The 5DMA was still declining indicating that the shorter term trend was still down. Quite the close of the month, now lets get ready for Q4!

Utilities breadth has reached an extreme. XLU’s 10-Day Sum Advance/Decline Ratio dropped from above 3 to below 0.32. In similar historical cases, XLU was higher three months later 82% of the time. Read full analysis: users.sentimentrader.com/use…

Right now, 71 stocks in the S&P 500 have a 20 day correlation of negative 0.90 or stronger to the 10 year yield. The largest cluster of these names comes from the Utilities sector. If you think rates are heading higher, these are the names to continue to be bearish on. If you think rates are going to come down, then these are the some of the names that have the potential to bounce.

Well, I appreciate you giving me credit. It’s not my chart, though; it’s yours. The idea came from a comment I left when I took the time to engage with your content. A hat tip or acknowledgment at the time would have been nice, when it actually mattered. Instead, you got upset when I called it out, made a big post about how many charts you publish, and tried to gaslight me. All the while, I stood my ground. I wasn’t going to let a bigger account and a bunch of its followers bully me, and I’ll never bend the knee to unethical behavior. All the best, Michael

Consumer sentiment is sitting at historic lows. In fact, we haven't seen levels like this since 2022, but prior to that you have to journey back to 1980. Then I noticed that the last 6 years or so look like the exact opposite of what the 10 year yield has been doing. When I looked back at the 70s leading into 1980, rates were also ripping higher and consumer sentiment reacted the same way. The grey shaded areas highlight US recessions. When looking back to the 80's we had a double-dip recession.

Revisiting the Utilities Bullish Percent Index. It tracks how many utility stocks are on a Point & Figure buy signal. Right now the reading is 12.9%, so almost every utility name is on a bearish track. The last two times it got this low were also right before October, and a solid bounce followed soon after. Will we see a similar reaction this time?

“I pOsT fOR FrEE and He POsT FoR PAy…” LoOK At mY MeME CoIN… See what i mean by the gaslighting… lol youtube.com/@figuringoutmone…

I will give to him, his gaslight game is 💯 It’s time to move on to more important things, will check back later. Cheers.

I still find this to be a WILD analog. Both of these quick moves in yields happened during a Trump midterm year. If the analog holds, that means rates should be taking a breather in October.