Macro Economist - Self-made multimillionaire - Formerly Retired at 42 - Always trying to find companies and investments that are solving tomorrows problems
Tweets, Not Financial Advice!
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NEW!!! - Portfolio Allocation as of 9.23.26
What changed in the portfolio?
Sold some $BMNR to invest in $CYPH a ZEC Treasury company. Also, purchased $SLE as a renewed bet in Metaplanet. Used previous Metaplanet funds to dial into this asymmetric bet.
Those are really the biggest changes. Just dialing up the risk curve.
NOTE - I share my thoughts, for very little, in hopes that you find it valuable perspective. If you want to support my work, I have the following methods.
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As usual, if you have questions, please let me know.
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Tom Lee @fundstrat is spot on about inflation data coming down over the next 6 months.
• Change in how PCE is calculated (01:36). - PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. On Sept 30 the government changes how it's calculated, which he says takes 20 to 40 basis points off the yearly rate, so "3.4 could be 3%."
• Tariffs fading (01:50). - The one-time price jump from tariffs drops out of the yearly comparison.
• Memory chip prices fading (01:52). Rate if inflation slows.
• Stock-market portfolio fees fading (01:57). - Fund-management fees, which rise with stock prices and count in PCE, stop adding pressure.
• Oil stops adding to the yearly rate (02:00). - If oil holds near current prices, it adds nothing to the yearly number in six months. He says it would take oil near $150 to push inflation back up.
• Higher rates holding down housing (02:06). - He argues housing would have to get more expensive to push inflation up, and higher rates prevent that.
Call him a perma 🐂 if you like. But time will show the truth
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Micro2Macr0 retweeted
The points he made aren't bad. The only problem is that the growth rate is going to be substantially smaller because of their size, therefore less price appreciation. Probably less than half.
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Micro2Macr0 retweeted
55% isn't a bad return in less than 24 hours, with NO LEVERAGE. 😆 $SVRN
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More $NEAR liquidity inbound.
🚨BITWISE NEAR ETF CLEARED TO LIST ON NYSE ARCA!
NYSE Arca approved Bitwise’s near:native fund to list under ticker NRR, per an SEC 8-A filing.
The prospectus still says the SEC has not approved or disapproved the shares. Trading has not started.
If it launches, the U.S. ETF would buy near:native and stake it. That is a new regulated bid for the token.
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Every cycle has its breakout L1.
Ladies and gentlemen, I give you $NEAR
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Still in very early stages, but I could see something like this in the future. Years not decades.
🚨 SCIENTISTS "RECHARGED" DAMAGED NERVES — AND YEARS OF PAIN DISAPPEARED!
Imagine if chronic pain could be switched off like a dead battery being recharged. Researchers have developed a breakthrough approach that helps damaged nerves regain normal function, and early results suggest it could dramatically reduce long-term pain by targeting the source of the problem instead of just masking symptoms.
Could this be the beginning of a new era in pain treatment? Scientists believe it may be a major step forward.
Source:
The University of Texas at Dallas. (n.d.). Researchers develop method to restore nerve function and reduce chronic pain.
ALT 🚨 SCIENTISTS "RECHARGED" DAMAGED NERVES — AND YEARS OF PAIN DISAPPEARED! Imagine if chronic pain could be switched off like a dead battery being recharged. Researchers have developed a breakthrough approach that helps damaged nerves regain normal function, and early results suggest it could dramatically reduce long-term pain by targeting the source of the problem instead of just masking symptoms. Could this be the beginning of a new era in pain treatment? Scientists believe it may be a major step forward. Source: The University of Texas at Dallas. (n.d.). Researchers develop method to restore nerve function and reduce chronic pain.
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Summary of @ColeMacro's thoughts of which I agree.
Also to be clear, $ASST is NOT and any of these indexes right now. So if anything it's just a potential issue in the future that they wouldn't be added. Not some detrimental harm of them being delisted now.
- We view the revised framework as a material improvement, even though we would currently be excluded under it.
- MSCI is now asking the right question but has yet to supply a rule capable of answering it.
- The proposal makes the proportion of “operating assets” decisive without explaining what makes an asset operating.
- Issuing digital credit on a Bitcoin balance sheet is financial intermediation with inputs, processes, and differentiated outputs.
- If MSCI cannot state and apply its distinction transparently and consistently, it should abandon the exclusion.
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Also here's the timeline of potential events.
• Sep 30: the comment period closes
• By Oct 16: MSCI announces its decision
• Nov 11: the November review is announced, including any deletions
• Dec 1: changes take effect
• Around March 2027: ASST would be re-tested on its 2026 annual report, and the next reviews come in February and May 2027
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If you've noticed that I haven't been talking about the price of $ASST lately there's a reason for that. It's the warrant overhang that ax is both a floor and a trade channel ceiling.
Now once the warrants expire the middle of October then it's off to the races and you'll see a lot more.
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Micro2Macr0 retweeted
This is 1 of 5 reports I've created over the last week. I just need to figure out where to put them since there's over 100 pages of analysis across several categories and that doesn't transition neatly to X.
Might end up being on the Discord?
Anyways, here's a few images to get your beak wet.
I'll keep you posted on the rest.
In the end, the goal is to try and find undervalued crypto plays that a small percentage of money could be dedicated towards in order to boost our returns.
Let me know if there's any particular themes you'd like to research as well.
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Micro2Macr0 retweeted
I have 7 accounts that have had a killer last 5 weeks.
Can't wait to see what the next 2 years look like with this refocus to Bitcoin and crypto. 😊
After that? Back to AI and scarce assets that have underperformed, as well as income sources that can be used for a 20%ish cash position. X money will obviously be a part of that formula.
Follow along if you want to be apart of the ride. 😁
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