The Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford provides independent, authoritative, evidence-based analysis on UK migration. Based at @COMPAS_oxford
In July, 43% of the public said immigration was an important issue affecting the UK, more than any other topic.
Our public attitudes briefing looks at how views vary towards different migrant groups and who is more likely to hold positive/negative attitudes towards migration.
The event of the year is back on Thursday 10th December!
The Migration Statistics User Forum is your opportunity to find out what ONS, Home Office and other government data teams are planning on migration, and to tell them what stats you need.
eventbrite.co.uk/e/migration…
In July, 43% of the public said immigration was an important issue affecting the UK, more than any other topic.
Our public attitudes briefing looks at how views vary towards different migrant groups and who is more likely to hold positive/negative attitudes towards migration.
My op-ed in the FT today about why it can be misleading when the migration debate focuses too much on work visas
A big theme in my recent book, "What is Immigration Policy For?" which looks at why immigration policy is so difficult for governments to manage
NEW PODCAST: How does immigration affect the public finances?
🎙️@HelenMiller_IFS, @M_Sumption, and @MaxWarnerIFS sit down to discuss the impact of migration on the economy and the public finances ⬇️
How does immigration affect public finances? Is the OBR getting it right? Which migration policies are fiscally costly vs beneficial?
Much enjoyed discussing all this - and my new book, "What is immigration policy for?" with @TheIFS on their excellent IFS Zooms In podcast
NEW PODCAST: How does immigration affect the public finances?
🎙️@HelenMiller_IFS, @M_Sumption, and @MaxWarnerIFS sit down to discuss the impact of migration on the economy and the public finances ⬇️
How does immigration affect public finances? Is the OBR getting it right? Which migration policies are fiscally costly vs beneficial?
Much enjoyed discussing all this - and my new book, "What is immigration policy for?" with @TheIFS on their excellent IFS Zooms In podcast
Our Director Madeleine Sumption joins @HelenMiller_IFS and @MaxWarnerIFS to discuss how immigration affects the public finances, and what falling net migration could mean for the UK economy. Check it out 👉 ifs.org.uk/articles/how-does…
Small boat arrivals reached the lowest level since December 2021 today. There were 27,900 arrivals in the last 365 days.
So far in 2026, arrivals are down by 47% compared to the same period of 2025. We explore why in our commentary:
migrationobservatory.ox.ac.u…
UPDATED BRIEFING: Public opinion has become less supportive of immigration recently, but the picture is nuanced, and the UK is still more positive than many European neighbours
UK Public Opinion toward Immigration: Overall Attitudes and Level of Concern migrationobservatory.ox.ac.u…
Reports that small shops and takeaways have hired migrants on Skilled Worker visas have appeared in several media outlets.
Our new Q&A explains why these employers were able to sponsor migrants, how many actually did, whether the govt could ban them + more.
Link in next post.
📊New migration stats: asylum applications are down, while UK citizenship applications hit a record high. 315,000+ applied in the year to June 2026 (+17%). Non-EU nationals drove the numbers, but growth was sharper among EU nationals. Read our full analysis migrationobservatory.ox.ac.u…
We've updated our briefing on migrants and crime in the UK
It looks at whether foreign nationals are more or less likely to be convicted than British citizens, and how many foreign national offenders are removed after serving their sentences.
migrationobservatory.ox.ac.u…
The government does not publish data on the share of foreign national offenders (FNOs) who are deported.
However, the number of FNOs living in the community has increased over the past decade, suggesting that returns have not kept pace with prison releases.
Non-citizens are less likely to receive bail than citizens and so are overrepresented in the population of people on remand awaiting trial. Around 25% of non-citizens in prisons had not yet been tried, compared to 11% of British citizens.
Non-citizens were more likely to be convicted or incarcerated for drug offences and less likely for violent offences than British citizens
The picture is more complicated for sexual offences—they are overrepresented among convictions but underrepresented in the prison population
Offending varies by nationality. This is to be expected because people from different backgrounds will have different risk factors (e.g socioeconomic deprivation)
The most common non-UK nationalities in English and Welsh prisons at the end of 2025 were Albanian, Irish, & Polish.