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Minnesota, USA
Based in North America
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Replying to @Nebraskademsoc
somehow Talarico is outperforming Jackson, still see both as tossups
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2026 Predictions
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September Predictions ig
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does this look good
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Replying to @mikanumauma0803
I make my predictions unbiased, I think Troy Jackson will narrowly win
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Replying to @jeza360
It's R+5 in Iowa and R+2 in Nebraska, Osborn is a really good candidate and only lost by 6 in 2024
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Senate Predictions (still working on the County Map)
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I got the first half of the states done for What if Biden Stayed in the Race, here is the PDF with margins drive.google.com/file/d/1FZV…
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I also have the files for the custom maps in drive because why not
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Btw here is the spreadsheet work for the "What If Biden Stayed In The Race" series! There is way more that is not in view but I spent a lot of thought making this. Some county breakdowns are also in this sheet that didn't end up in the final graphics too.
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Here is how the Senate, Gubernatorial, and House races would have gone.
🧵What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Full Map 🔴 Donald Trump: 78,685,995 votes (51.48%) (Increase +1,382,427 votes, +1.67%) 🔵 Joe Biden: 70,315,612 votes (46.00%) (Decrease 4,703,618 votes, -2.34%) This took way too long to make
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The substack is free, I would appreciate it if you checked it out! substack.com/@modrightpatrio…
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Wisconsin: Trump+3.62%
What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Wisconsin 🔴 Donald Trump: 1,719,927 (50.84%) (Increase 22,301 votes, +1.24%) 🔵 Joe Biden: 1,597,462 (47.22%) (Decrease 70,767 votes, -1.52%)
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Virginia: Biden+1.35%
What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Virginia 🔵 Joe Biden: 2,194,765 votes (49.45%) (Decrease 140,630 votes, -2.38%) 🔴 Donald Trump: 2,134,847 votes (48.10%) (Increase 59,762 votes, +2.05%)
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Texas: Trump+17.39%
What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Texas 🔴 Donald Trump: 6,456,870 votes (57.53%) (Increase +63,273 votes, +1.39%) 🔵 Joe Biden: 4,505,106 votes (40.14%) (Decrease -330,144 votes, -2.32%)
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Rhode Island: Biden+12.04%
What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Rhode Island 🔵 Joe Biden: 278,757 votes (54.23%) (Decrease 4,963 votes, -1.21%) 🔴 Donald Trump: 216,868 votes (42.19%) (Increase 2,577 votes, +0.32%)
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Pennsylvania: Trump+5.26%
another repost What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Pennsylvania Edition 🔴 Donald Trump: 3,597,624 votes (51.92%) (Increase 54,316 votes from 2024 actual, +1.62%) 🔵 Joe Biden: 3,232,446 votes (46.66%) (Decrease 190,596 votes, -1.93%)
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