Neutral Zone Labs
@NeutralZoneLabs

Run your own NFL simulations, even mid-game when lineups change. Compare projections to props and prediction markets. Data, not advice. Built by @Duilen.

 Denver, CO
neutralzonelabs.com
Joined September 2026
3 Photos and videos
Alvin Kamara gets Atlanta at home on Monday night. Four of his markets, next to our simulation: How he gets there: 1. Travis Etienne, who had 31 of the Saints' 75 designed carries, is on injured reserve 2. 40+ rushing yards in 37 of 55 games since 2022 3. 4+ catches in 33 of 55 4. 90.5 scrimmage yards a game at home since 2022 What stands in the way: 1. Atlanta allows 3.06 yards a carry, fewest in the NFL 2. Atlanta hasn't allowed a rushing touchdown this season 3. 12 receiving yards in his 2 games this year 4. A touchdown in 12 of 55 games since 2022 Run your own simulations at neutralzonelabs.com
Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 40+ yards rushing, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.4pp. Rushing yards 0 to 180: 43.2% of games under 40, 56.8% at 40 or more. FanDuel ≥ 40: 50.0%.

ALT Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 40+ yards rushing, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.4pp. Rushing yards 0 to 180: 43.2% of games under 40, 56.8% at 40 or more. FanDuel ≥ 40: 50.0%.

Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 16+ yards receiving, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.3pp. Receiving yards 0 to 100: 33.9% of games under 16, 66.1% at 16 or more. FanDuel ≥ 16: 53.3%.

ALT Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 16+ yards receiving, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.3pp. Receiving yards 0 to 100: 33.9% of games under 16, 66.1% at 16 or more. FanDuel ≥ 16: 53.3%.

Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 4+ receptions, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.4pp. Receptions 0 to 12: 38.8% of games under 4, 61.2% at 4 or more. FanDuel ≥ 4: 43.9%.

ALT Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 4+ receptions, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.4pp. Receptions 0 to 12: 38.8% of games under 4, 61.2% at 4 or more. FanDuel ≥ 4: 43.9%.

Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 1+ touchdowns scored, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.3pp. Touchdowns 0 to 3: 69.2% of games with none, 30.8% with 1 or more. FanDuel ≥ 1: 46.5%.

ALT Simulation card: Alvin Kamara to get 1+ touchdowns scored, ATL at NO. Neutral Zone Labs, 5,000 games, run 10/5 16:45 ET, margin ±1.3pp. Touchdowns 0 to 3: 69.2% of games with none, 30.8% with 1 or more. FanDuel ≥ 1: 46.5%.
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The Giants beat Arizona by 12 with a 31.7% success rate. Since 2017, 21 teams have won by 10+ with a rate that low, and none scored more than the Giants' 36. Success rate: the share of plays that left the offense better positioned to score than before the snap.
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Miami has played 16 quarters this season without holding a lead. The leaderboard since 1999: 1. 2005 Texans: 24 2. 2017 Browns: 18 3. 2001 Lions: 17 4. 2026 Dolphins: 16 (and counting) 5. 2003 Bears: 15 T6. 2003 Bengals: 14 T6. 2021 Jets: 14 8. 1999 Falcons: 13 T9. 10 teams: 12 Regular season, OT counts as a quarter, a tie isn't a lead.
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Week 3 had 810 snaps from under center, up from 602 in Week 3 last year. That's 41% of all plays, up from 31%.
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Chicago ran 86 offensive plays to the Jets' 32. Last season, only one team ran fewer than 32 in a game: the Raiders, with 30 at Kansas City.
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My wife: Dan Cambell looks like he is about to blow a fuse.
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x.com/i/nfl/game/20550870767…
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This season, the team with the better EPA per play has won 53 of 62 games. The team with the better success rate has won 39 of 62.
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Through three weeks the Vikings ranked 28th in offensive EPA per play and 1st on defense. The 2015 Broncos finished 26th and 1st, started 4-0, and won the Super Bowl.
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The Giants scored 36 on a 32% success rate. Four of their six scoring drives started in Arizona territory, and a defensive touchdown did the rest.
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Rams-Eagles was the most lopsided of today's early games by EPA per play: LA +0.06, PHI -0.29. The Rams still had to come back from 3.2% win probability.
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The Packers OL doesn't look great. I should look into the data. I don't know if they have ever been at the bottom of the league statistically.
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Gemini says they have never been the dead-last OL prior to 2026. They had a few tough years in 2009 and 2005. But you have to go back to the 80s to see continuous ineffective play. I'm not convinced this will continue in 2026.
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And they just allowed an ugly blocked FG...
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Neutral Zone Labs retweeted
Dane Lyons
@duilen
Sep 24
My take on Drake London getting 70+ receiving yards using @NeutralZoneLabs.
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