Sports in a nutshell: fast, smart, backed by data and film. NFL Draft boards and football tools linked below Totally Serious Chicago Sports Tweets as well
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I built a website for the 2027 NFL Draft that tracks how prospects rise and fall throughout the entire pre-draft process.
Consensus big boards. Community rankings. Player movement tracking.
nutshellsportz.com
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An updated look at each team’s offensive EPA per rush and EPA per dropback through Week 3.
It will be interesting to see if the Packers’ new offensive line additions can help their struggling run game. Meanwhile, the 49ers have been extremely effective through the air.
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An updated look at quarterback EPA per play inside and outside the pocket after Week 3.
Brock Purdy continues to have a very strong start to the season.
Inside/outside pocket designation via @FTNFantasy
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An updated look at the top 50 of the 2027 NFL Draft Media Consensus Big Board as of September 28.
Dylan Stewart is currently the 5th overall prospect and it will be interesting to see how his indefinite suspension affects his stock moving forward.
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An updated look at which running backs are moving the chains both on the ground and through the air through the first two weeks.
Jahmyr Gibbs continues to be a 1st down machine.
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An updated look at quarterback EPA per play inside and outside the pocket after Week 2. Unfortunate to see Jaxson Dart’s season end after such a promising start.
Inside/outside pocket designation via @FTNFantasy
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A look at the biggest risers on the Media Consensus Big Board.
Justin Scott has shot up the board since rankings started coming out in early May.
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A look at running back first-down rate on the ground and through the air after Week 1. It is obviously still a small sample, but it will be interesting to see how this updates throughout the season.
Ken Walker was also truly dominant from an efficiency standpoint against the Broncos.
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A look at the current top 50 on the 2027 NFL Draft Media Consensus Big Board as of September 16th.
Lots of interesting movement, including Jadan Baugh continuing to rise all the way to RB1.
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A look at quarterback EPA per play inside and outside the pocket from Week 1 of the 2026 season. Jaxson Dart and Trevor Lawrence both had all around great days, while Caleb Williams and Tyler Shough thrived outside the pocket.
Inside/outside pocket designation via @FTNFantasy charting.
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My biggest issue with PFF grades (besides arguing the grade on individual throws) is that they claim to group plays into one of 9 “bins” (from -2.0 to 2.0). But from everything I’ve seen, the overwhelming majority of plays really fall into just 5 “bins” (from -1.0 to 1.0). That means throws with clearly different levels of quality can end up getting the exact same grade. A throw that barely qualifies as a +0.5 and one that is almost good enough to be a +1.0 are treated the same (even though there can be a real difference between them).
I understand why PFF does this. It would be much harder for graders to reliably tell the difference between something like a +0.6 and a +0.7 (and that could add even more subjectivity). But if you could grade plays on a smaller scale (say 0.1 instead of 0.5), you could keep more information and get a more precise idea of QB performance.
Important reminder
What the PFF grade measures is the part of the play the QB actually controls — the read, the decision, the throw. Not the result that lands in the box score.
pff.com/news/nfl-caleb-willi…
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A look at overall offensive performance in Week 1 (excluding MNF). This looks at EPA per dropback and EPA per rush for each offense this week.
The Giants and Bears both had very strong offensive debuts.
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I built a website for the 2027 NFL Draft that tracks how prospects rise and fall throughout the entire pre-draft process.
Consensus big boards. Community rankings. Player movement tracking.
nutshellsportz.com
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11,885
After most Week 1 games, Jeremiah Smith has officially passed Arch Manning for the No. 1 spot on the Media Consensus Big Board.
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Make your own board and see how it compares to both the media and community consensus big boards at nutshellsportz.com
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A look at how well defensive tackles generated pressure in 2025. This chart looks at pressure production through both total pressures and pressure rate.
Osa Odighizuwa, Jeffery Simmons, and Chris Jones were in a tier of their own.
Participation data via @FTNFantasy
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A look at how quarterbacks performed against single-high and two-high looks.
Josh Allen had the highest EPA per dropback against two-high looks, while Drake Maye had the highest EPA per dropback against single-high looks.
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With Week 0 of the CFB season quickly approaching, here is a look at the 2027 NFL Draft WR rankings according to the Media Consensus Big Board.
Charlie Becker has climbed all the way up to WR3 with the preseason hype.
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A look at Non-QB-Fault Pressure Rate vs. average time to throw for each NFL team.
Average time to throw can add helpful context when looking at Non-QB-Fault Pressure Rate, even though the relationship is far from perfect.
A look at Non-QB-Fault Pressure Rate allowed by NFL offenses. A Non-QB-Fault pressure is a pressure on a dropback where the QB was not assigned any fault.
The Browns led the league, with 34% of their dropbacks resulting in a Non-QB-Fault pressure. The Steelers had the lowest rate at 17.7%, which was no doubt helped by Aaron Rodgers having the quickest average time to throw (2.48 sec) among starters last season.
QB-fault pressure charting via @FTNFantasy
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