After multiple bull cycles, the biggest lesson I've learned is to stop picking exact price targets to sell.
I'll be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors.
It's time to start thinking about this now.
The last real crypto bull market was 2020 into 2021, and 2022 to 2025 was a nice move but it wasn't a business cycle expansion bull market. That one is still setting up.
I zoomed way out on Bitcoin and laid out my range for this cycle, $137K to $390K.
I know that seems like a wide range, but the business cycle will decide where BTC ends up in it within it.
Still to be determined.
And again, I will be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors.
The bull market hasn't happened yet 0:00
Daily chart bearish divergence 1:00
Weekly inverse head and shoulders 2:15
Last cycle's QT and the dip 4:11
The big fakeout 6:00
Copper, gold and the Russell 2000 8:26
Why the pattern is disqualified 10:15
$137K to $390K targets 11:45
90s-style boom 13:05
CCV Business Cycle Index 15:00
Short-term range 17:21
Downside levels 19:00
Path back to the 120s 20:00
Final thoughts 21:17