Your 24/7 source for breaking news and insider insights | Powered by @Kalshi Tracking the latest political polls and Elections in one place oszpolls.com
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States where Republicans are hardest to reach in polls Per Echleon Inisghts
Most Hidden Republican Voters:
π΄ Iowa
π΄ Indiana
π΄ Michigan
π΄ Ohio
π΄ Arizona
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As John Fetterman leaves the question open for leaving the Democrats, the odds he leaves the Party before 2028 is at 45% Per @Kalshi
Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) if he would still be a democrat after the midterms
βLetβs revisit after the midterms, and letβs see what happens... I don't know.β
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Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) if he would still be a democrat after the midterms
βLetβs revisit after the midterms, and letβs see what happens... I don't know.β
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Trump posts replies criticizing Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL)
This happened after Maria Elvira Salazar said his immigration policies were going βtoo far.β
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2026 South Carolina Senate
π΄ Darline Graham: 43%
π΅ Annie Andrews: 42%
Trafalgar poll | 9/23-9/25
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2026 Maine Senate Poll
π΄ Susan Collins: 46%
π΅ Troy Jackson: 46%
Insider Advantage | 9/22-23 | 1,200 LV
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All Georgia Governor Race Polls This Month
InsiderAdvantage: π΄ Rick Jackson +2
Big Data Poll: π΄ Rick Jackson +1
YouGov: π΄ Rick Jackson +3
Rasmussen: π΄ Rick Jackson +3
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Mark Halprein says Democrats could win up to 58 Senate seats this midterm election
Mark Halprein Blue Wave Scenario:
π΅ Democrats: 58 (+11)
π΄ Republicans: 42 (-11)
(Democrats win the Mississippi Senate Seat in this scenario)
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Trump posts showing Crude oil has been the cheapest under his administration
Days with crude oil above $100 a barrel
Obama: π΄ 308 days
Trump 1st: π’ 0 days
Biden: π΄ 83 days
Trump 2nd: π’ 24 days
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2026 Alaska Senate Race
π΄ Dan Sullivan (inc): 46.8%
π΅ Mary Peltola: 45.5%
π΄ Daniel J. Sullivan: 2.8%
π΄ Gerald Heikes 0.7%
Trafalgar poll | 9/22-9/24
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2026 Inside Elections Senate Ratings
π΄ Republicans: 50
π΅ Democrats: 46
π‘ Tossup: 4
Swing States:
Texas: π΄ Lean R
Alaska: π΄ Tilt D
New Hampshire: π‘ Tossup
Michigan: π‘ Tossup
Ohio: π‘ Tossup
Maine: π‘ Tossup
Georgia: π΅ Tilt D
North Carolina: π΅ Tilt D
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Breaking: The Supreme Court blocks Missouri from using the Redistricted 7R-1D congressional map in the 2026 midterms for a 3rd time.
Map That Will Be Used For 2026:
π΄ Republicans: 6 (-1)
π΅ Democrats: 2 (-1)
(+/- vs Redistricted Map)
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Trump will campaign in multiple senate swing states ahead of Election Day Per Politico
π΄ Iowa
π΄ Florida
π΄ Texas
π΄ Alaska
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Aired spending in the 2026 midterms so far Per AdImpact
π΄ Republicans: $3.1 billion
π΅ Democrats: $2.9 billion
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2026 Michigan Senate Race
π΄ Mike Rogers: 44.4%
π΅ Abdul El-Sayed: 43.1%
Torchlight Strategies | 9/15-9/19
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2026 Georgia Governor Race
π΄ Rick Jackson: 48%
π΅ Keisha Lance Bottoms: 46%
Insider Advantage poll | 9/22-9/23
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Breaking: The Supreme Court lets the Trump administration use a revamped federal voter eligibility database, which lets states use Social Security records to check voters' citizenship.
Final Vote:
π’ Yes: 6
π΄ No: 3
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Fox: Crude oil has been the cheapest under Donald Trump
Days with crude oil above $100 a barrel
Obama: π΄ 308 days
Biden: π‘ 83 days
Trump 2nd: π’ 24 days
Trump 1st: π’ 0 days
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2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner
π΄ Bo French: 45%
π΅ Joe Rosenthal: 44%
TPOR poll | 9/19-9/22
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Iranian President Wants Deal Before Midterms Per News Nation
Pezeshkian: βWe donβt want it to get to the midterm elections.β
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The Huge spending advantage has helped Rick Jackson surge in the polls
Georgia Governor (RacetotheWH poll average)
π΄ Rick Jackson: 46.1% (+6.4)
π΅ Keisha Lance Bottoms: 45.1% (-6.5)
(+/- vs 3 months ago)
Georgia Governor Future linear ad reservations Per AdImpact
π΄ Republicans: $40.5M
π΅ Democrats: $42k
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Georgia Governor Future linear ad reservations Per AdImpact
π΄ Republicans: $40.5M
π΅ Democrats: $42k
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Obama says the federal government is less corrupt than at any point in U.S. history Per Axios
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2026 Georgia Governor Race
π΄ Rick Jackson: 47.6%
π΅ Keisha Lance Bottoms: 45.7%
Big Data Poll
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Court reinstates Ohio law requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration Per Politico
Final Ruling:
π’ Yes: 2
π΄ No: 1
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2026 Kansas Senate Race
π΅ Adam Hamilton: 50%
π΄ Roger Marshall: 48%
Wedgewood poll | 9/22-9/24
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Despite the latest poll showing Phil Scott (R) losing, Kalshi odds has the race as Safe R
Vermont Governor election odds Per @Kalshi
π΄ Phil Scott: 90%
π΅ Amanda Janoo: 10%
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2026 Vermont Governor Race
π΅ Amanda Janoo: 49%
π΄ Phil Scott: 43%
UNH poll | 9/17-9/21
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60 commercial vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday carrying the highest daily volume of crude βoil since βearly βJuly Per Reuters
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The Senate blocks war powers resolution to stop military action against Iran
Final Vote:
π’ Yes: 49
π΄ No: 50
GOP Yes Votes:
π΄ Susan Collins (ME)
π΄ Lisa Murkowski (AK)
π΄ Rand Paul (KY)
π΄ Thom Tillis (NC)
Dem No Votes:
π΅ John Fetterman (PA)
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2026 Florida Governor Race
π΄ Byron Donalds: 51%
π΅ David Jolly: 39%
Stetson University poll | 9/14-9/21
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π¨Breaking: US and Iran discuss phased deal to reopen Hormuz and end US blockade Per Reuters
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2026 Maine Senate Among those who didnβt vote in 2024
π΄ Susan Collins: 60%
π΅ Troy Jackson: 26%
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22
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Graham Platner Maine Favorability
π’ Favorable: 23%
π΄ Unfavorable: 66%
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22
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Hasan Piker Favorability in Michigan
π’ Favorable: 6%
π΄ Unfavorable: 34%
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22
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Susan Collins vs Troy Jackson favorability
π΄ Susan Collins: 51%
π΅ Troy Jackson: 41%
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22
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2026 Maine Senate Race
π΄ Susan Collins: 49% (incumbent)
π΅ Troy Jackson: 46%
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22
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Days with crude oil above $100 a barrel
Obama: π΄ 308 days
Trump 1st: π’ 0 days
Biden: π‘ 83 days
Trump 2nd: π’ 24 days
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4,212
12,459
1,390,457
Abdul El-Sayed Predicts a democratic woman will win the presidency in 2028
"I look forward to working with the next Democratic president when she takes office in 2029"
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RNC chair Joe Gruters Midterm prediction
House:
π΄ Republicans: 220 (-)
π΅ Democrats: 215 (-)
Senate:
π΄ Republicans: 53 (-)
π΅ Democrats: 47 (-)
(+/- vs 2024 Election)
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Trump will campaign in 35 battleground races before the midterms Per National Journal
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Former aides describe Mary Peltola campaign and congressional office as marked by chaos Per NYT
They describe angry and profane outbursts from Mary Peltola that were directed at aides
In one instance, she shoved an aide, according to a former staff member who was present
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Texas Future linear reservations from outside groups per Adimpact
Republicans: π΄ $70.6 million
Democrats: π΅ $0
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Who is the current Senator of Ohio?
π΄ Jon Husted: 75%
π΅ Sherrod Brown: 25%
BGSU/YouGov
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Time Scott also shared polling showing GOP enthusiasm up 20 percent in past 2 months
Those who describe as very enthusiastic:
π΄ Republicans: 79% (+20)
π΅ Democrats: 78%
NRSC Chair Tim Scott leaves Georgia, North Carolina off his list of top Senate targets
While adding possible pick-ups in Michigan and New Hampshire in a presentation to Senate Republicans
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