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solana:PerPsCe2SJ7Q25CN4R5TTX4fmBdmknE2hQmqCt96fHL has been picking up volume lately. @PerpsPadfun is a launpad that creates coins that route their trading fees into a leveraged perp on Phoenix: 50% margin, 15% buyback-and-burn, 15% creator, 20% treasury. Platform-wide, the 220 coins have done $34.5M of DEX volume since launch, $25.5M of it since September 10, with a $10.7M peak on September 13. The treasury received $41.1K of that. Volume is concentrated. solana:PerPsCe2SJ7Q25CN4R5TTX4fmBdmknE2hQmqCt96fHL is 52% of the $48.2M all-time spot volume across 203 coins, and the top three (PERPSPAD, YOYO, LEVERSTONK) are 78%. Six coins have cleared $1M.
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Pine Analytics retweeted
Ep. 6 - Mainnet eth has entered the launchpad wars, STONK ecosystem, $BP rallying, Solana eco pumping across the board, new SEC clarifications, and more
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Pine Analytics retweeted
Ep. 4 - ZEC rally, strategies for finding good coins in a diluted market, stonk vs pumpfun, overall sentiment, tokenized stock + hyperliquid US rulings, and more
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Pine Analytics retweeted
20 to 30 new launchpads a day. Most rug. The ones that don't tend to run, because everyone wants the next PONS or STONK.
Ep. 3 - Clarity Act, Launchpad Wars continue, Thoughts on Arc, Nectar launch, Rip cars gacha release, Silver depeg on solana, and more
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Pine Analytics retweeted
Replying to @Backpack
@Backpack is going crazy with stock listings.
Ep. 2 - Current bags, Short term bearishness, Stonk vs. Pump, Solana fighting back, Launchpad meta still in full swing, and more
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Pine Analytics retweeted
Ep. 2 - Current bags, Short term bearishness, Stonk vs. Pump, Solana fighting back, Launchpad meta still in full swing, and more
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Your odds at the @LaunchOnSF table are getting worse fast. Two weeks ago roughly 1 in 10 new @LaunchOnSF launches ever made it to $40k. Yesterday it was 1 in 45. Getting a real runner is rarer still: a launch's chance of ever touching $1M went from 1 in 172 (Aug 30) to 1 in 1,250 (Sep 8). The best launch of each day still hits $7M–$25M, same as the week before. What changed is the supply. @Raydium LaunchLab bonding curves opened Sep 5 and daily launches jumped from a few hundred to over six thousand, so the same handful of runners is now buried in 35x the tickets. Tokens clearing $1M spiked to 12 on Sep 6, then 7, then 5, then 1 by noon today. Since LaunchLab opened on Sep 5, each day's $1M club has been worth less than the last. 75% of the tokens that crossed $1M on Sep 5 ran on to $5M. Sep 6: 32%. Sep 7: 23%. Sep 8: 17%. Of the four that crossed today, none.
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Pine Analytics retweeted
"We're not seeing any of these launchpads that have a token go multichain so it just opens up the opportunity for someone new to do it." @neodot details his $BREW trade as a $PONS / solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx beta which ran from 100k to 30m in under 24 hours
Ep. 1 - Launchpad Wars, Meme/Stock pairs, Current Bags, Hunter Biden Laptop Coin, and more
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Yesterday @kamino opened a ZCASH Market where ZEC is the collateral with a 13,000 ZEC deposit cap, and USDC is the only borrowable asset, capped at $2M. Since opening on Sep 7, 847.9 ZEC ($973k) has been deposited into the market, with $332k of USDC borrowed against it.
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This is the first episode of One Trade, where our co-founder @jackthepine and @neodot share their thoughts and trades in the crypto market on a regular basis.
Ep. 1 - Launchpad Wars, Meme/Stock pairs, Current Bags, Hunter Biden Laptop Coin, and more
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Seems like we were onto something here.
@nfwdotfun launches $NFW tomorrow I'd fade it. NFW did 11,514 draws and ~$408K of pulls since Jul 30, peaking at 1,634 draws on Aug 12. The last 7 days: 7 draws. Pullers were farming rNFW on every pull (half of all cash-outs were taken in rNFW, not SOL), the team paused rewards around Aug 29 pending TGE, and volume went to zero that day. Depositors have since withdrawn 10,402 of the 14,913 SOL they ever backed positions with; 41 positions are left. The Ethereum original, @FWAssets, shows the same curve without a token pause: $4.67M of tickets on its peak day Jul 25, $513K in the last 7 days. Backed gacha demand is a launch-window phenomenon, and NFW's was specifically demand for the token that unlocks tomorrow.
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Grayscale's Zcash ETF has been live nine trading days. It now holds 444,608 ZEC, 2.63% of everything in circulation, up from 2.29% at the Aug 25 listing. $51M of net creations. Zero redemptions. The biggest day was Friday.
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In the last 72 hours, the market cap of everything launched on @LaunchOnSF went from $13.7M to $165M. Tokens above $1M went from 3 to 13, above $10M from 0 to 2, and ZCAT alone is $98M, 65% of the total. The fees followed. The platform wallet harvested $706k in those 72 hours, $498k of it in the last 24, with a single hour this morning bringing in $53k. The best full day before this week was $140k. $475k of the 72-hour take, 67%, has already gone into buying and burning solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx, $356k of that in the last 24 hours across 5,696 swaps. solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx is $0.145, a $128M market cap, 3x its FDV a day ago. The revenue moved faster than the price: on the trailing 24 hours the token trades at 0.7x annualized fees, down from 1.4x on the 7-day run-rate a day earlier.
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RIPCARS-002 kills the 18mo cliff on @ripcarsio's founder package: day-1 unlocks via performance TWAPs, capped at $100k or 5%/month for 18mo. I'm for the concept. An 18mo cliff is long for founders, and @MetaDAOProject is right to want a faster path to liquidity. It just feels distasteful in this case: a startup with no live product yet asking for it. It's passing, and CARS is down ~20% since the proposal went up.
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Yesterday @Beezie announced a partnership with The Luxury Closet to add authenticated Birkins, watches, and jewelry to its claw machine. Pack sales on @solana in the 24 hours after the post reached $976,000, up from $256,000 in the 24 hours before. The prior daily average was about $170,000. Two-thirds of that came in the first six hours, and the single biggest hour of the week, $332,000, landed at 2 PM ET.
Birkins are coming to Solana. We are partnering with The Luxury Closet to bring authenticated luxury onchain. real pieces. authenticated IRL. owned onchain.
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The @JurassicFi Triceratops raise closes in 13 days, and it is not on pace. $376.6K of the $660K target is in (57%), but $328K of that landed on day one. The last two weeks added ~$8K total. Closing the $283K gap needs ~$20K/day, roughly 40x the current trickle. If it misses, contributions are refunded in full.
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solana:jtojtomepa8beP8AuQc6eXt5FriJwfFMwQx2v2f9mCL has rallied 17%+ off recent lows to a $555M FDV: roughly 110x the ~$5M of annualized fees its staking and tip stack earns, every dollar of which depends on Solana on-chain activity. The only path to that multiple is a dramatic pickup in Solana activity or real traction at the @jtx_trade front end. The chain shows the opposite: 24 days after going fully public, daily active wallets have fallen from 626 to 137, weekly averages down every week (436, 230, 191, 158), and lifetime app volume is $26.5M with daily volume running $200-600K outside single-wallet spikes. Unless a catalyst reverses the decline, the repricing runs down, not up.
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Both @DefiLlama and @Blockworks showed @JupiterExchange Ultra booking its biggest revenue day in eighteen months on August 30 — $733k against a ~$100k daily baseline. Since March, PumpSwap has been crediting Jupiter a per-swap cashback on every Jupiter-routed PumpSwap trade, fractions of a cent at a time, into eight vaults Jupiter never touched. They climbed from zero in late February to ~790 SOL each. On the morning of the 30th, two claim_cashback transaction drained all eight — 6,250 SOL, about $646k — and Jupiter's sweeper moved it into the revenue wallet both trackers read as daily revenue. These are the 2 flush transaction IDs: 5ANJZRSBCjGLKH67SvZwFo5kwy6F3TRyYjrQ4t2iTBuBGNCDTUM4wi48uraP7CwaNK3hqDsDqqFU75uAiL1f4Wg9 o8qUz1GCZZZFCu5Cq1Q1aLW7xph3aaUedkgiCDjZxewupLEixGoq7KeBpySy1Uw3J36XaYY6cEx2cQfW234mxZ3
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