48 hours after the arrest of Matthew VanDyke, I told Arnab Goswami that I believed he would eventually be released because, in my assessment, the entire US Deep State would push the right buttons in India to secure his release.
Today, VanDyke has walked out of Tihar Jail and has been permitted by the Delhi court to travel to the United States for a month.
The legal route matters. The NIA’s September chargesheet invoked the Immigration and Foreigners Act rather than the UAPA, while the agency maintained that its UAPA investigation was continuing. VanDyke subsequently obtained default bail, and the court later permitted him to travel to the US.
I made my assessment 48 hours after his arrest. The subsequent developments speak for themselves.
The larger question, however, is not merely why VanDyke was released. It is whether India fully understands the geopolitical networks, diplomatic pressures and strategic interests that can come into play when a foreign national connected to conflict zones becomes entangled in an Indian national-security investigation.
That is the question India must examine without emotion, and without fear.