NEW @SearchlightInst paper! With AI poised to disrupt work in a range of ways, the U.S. should strengthen its job transition "muscle" to help workers secure roles in industries of the future. This can only happen if Congress fixes how major workforce programs are *funded* 🧵

there’s been a spate of “pre-deployment review” bills intro’d in congress — and i welcome the focus on independent oversight of ai! — but many of these bills don’t address the worst ai risks. bills that require “snapshot in time” reviews of models right before they go out the door are insufficient, because risks can arise far before deployment (including during development and internal use.) the hugging face incident was mostly perpetrated by an internal model that wasn’t intended for public release! it wouldn’t have been prevented by a quick pre-deployment check. that’s why the ai researcher consensus has shifted towards embedded auditors / evaluators, with ongoing access to a company’s models, personnel, internal records, etc.

WFH is the most underrated social and economic change of the last decade.

Democrats should see Trump’s failed presidency as a cautionary tale not something to emulate. slowboring.com/p/the-republi…

If you haven't read the profile of CF patients who learned they would live, take the time to read it today: theatlantic.com/magazine/arc…

New from me in @TheArgumentMag today: the state of polling is Really Bad, and the rise of just making things up is going to be a problem for '28

i’ve watched a lot of friends make unnecessarily costly decisions under the assumption that every element of one’s life must be a political expression — including: staying in exploitative nonprofit jobs, forgoing kids bc of climate change guilt, hooking themselves up to an IV drip of political news when it makes them miserable, cutting off family with even slight political disagreements. and i think very little of it redounds to any public benefit. it often impoverishes their life and by extension others’. the most effective and resilient public interest advocates i know cut themselves and others a lot of slack, because life is hard enough.

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Here are the estimates by country!

Come work at the most interesting think tank in America politics! The social policy team at @NiskanenCenter is hiring a government affairs manager to cover our work & family policy portfolio. Submit your resume and cover letter (!) by September 30th. ⤵️

Democratic Party insider Adam Jentleson discusses his new book, "Supermajority: How Democrats Can Build Lasting Power," and how he thinks the party should move forward. He argues that instead of chasing votes, "we should aspire to represent the most, the biggest number of people that you can, while still staying firmly rooted in your principles."

Looking forward to talking Supermajority today with @JerusalemDemsas

When do we see the first Kalshi "bet to keep your Medicaid" ad

It's a beautiful day in the (political) neighborhood.

surreal to see my polling in the nyt

Highly highly encourage reading through the results

For the polling nerds, @SearchlightInst *also* published toplines and crosstabs for all 200-ish questions from our How To Build A Supermajority Project. You can download them from the project pages (link in reply). We've got results on a ton of topics!

Politics is often described as "a battle between liberals and conservatives" — but most voters have much messier views than labels suggest. We call it heterodoxy. And, for the New York Times today, we mapped it out.

Searchlight partnered with the Times to map out heterodoxy — and we found that barely 1/5 of America's voters represent the purely-idealogical left and right camps. nytimes.com/interactive/2026…

The simplest way to think about this work is that only 10% of the electorate can be classified as completely ideologically liberal and 14% is completely conservative. Interestingly, these two coalitions are also by far the most likely to say all their friends hold the same political positions as them. IE: Most of the people who work in politics!

New political identity quiz just dropped 👀searchlightinstitute.org/pol…