66 blocks to go.
BIP-110 Fork Monitor to track what is happening on the network as the situation unfolds.
elektronics.dev/analytics/bi…
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Looks like the Mandatory Signaling window will start around 5:30pm EST today, depending, of course, on how fast or slow the next blocks come in.
Here are a few things we’re tracking...
elektronics.dev/analytics/bi…
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Signaling remains low at 2.6% for the period, with no significant momentum in any window.
The 144-block window (~1 day) saw a small pickup yesterday, but that could simply be luck from signaling miners. Mostly flat.
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We’ll be tracking both chains if there is a split.
Given the low hashrate currently signaling for BIP-110, blocks on that chain could initially take a while to mine. At current hashrate, we’d expect roughly 2-4 blocks/day, vs. ~144/day on the legacy chain.
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If BIP-110 changes PoW to address slow blocks, we’ll track that here too.
Aug 8, 2026 · 11:20 AM UTC
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Important: we’re also tracking potential double-spend activity.
After a chain split, the same pre-fork coins exist on both chains. Without replay protection, a transaction intended for one chain can potentially be replayed on the other.
We’ll monitor for that here.
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There is no perfect way to measure Bitcoin consensus. So we built an index based on signals from nodes, miners, exchanges, holders, wallets and developers, weighted by how costly each signal is to fake.
The methodology is transparent and reproducible. Current reading: 4/100.
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BIP-110 appears set to activate. The bigger question is long-term chain viability.
Right now, our viability index sits at 12/100. Of course, these dynamics can change quickly.
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We couldn't find any exchanges planning to list the BIP110 coins. But there's some prediction markets out there. Included here (liquidity is super thin though).
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BIG DISCLAIMER: This is an experimental monitoring tool, not an oracle. A lot of the code was built with AI and there will be bugs. Some of the metrics are our own models and estimates.
Don’t make financial or operational decisions based on it.
If you spot a bug, please DM me. I'll try to fix as many bugs as possible through the day.
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