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Rate of change on the NQ is slightly alarming.
Meanwhile they hate small caps.
Is it time to see some relative outperformance from the small caps again? $IWM $IWO > $QQQ?
Kinda got the gut feeling to just dump my entire portfolio seeing the COT positioning being super long $QQQ.
Instead, I decided to just cut anything without any cushion. $PURR $BLSH
Keeping these:
$BE $DELL $ETHA $ETHU $MSTR $MRVL $DRAM $SPCX $QQQ
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The bears have failed with every opportunity they’ve been given to take this market lower.
The bottom has fallen out of bonds. Yields are flying. Equal weight has gotten smoked.
And yet, $QQQ is sitting at a new weekly all-time closing high.
It feels like this market is just sitting here waiting for one piece of news to send us straight to $800.
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You think @JensenHuang said this in front of President Xi last night? 😂🤣
JUST IN: NVIDIA $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says we're entering a "low IQ era" where children won't need to learn basic math.
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A 2x leveraged $BWET from @defianceinvest tells you one thing and one thing only:
They don’t care about servicing the customer. They care about collecting fees.
Social media discovers a new shiny, illiquid toy, and suddenly there’s a leveraged product built around it so traders can gamble with even more exposure.
The product doesn’t need to be useful. It just needs to attract assets and generate fees.
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
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9/24/2026: The market message? Focus on the leaders!
- Yieldsmaxxing! 2,5,10 and 30 years all pushing higher.
- Markets had an overnight gap down but I would say it survived the stress test.
- Leadership is really standing out at this point.
- $AMD is your current market leader with $INTC $TSM $NVDA $TER $MRVL $MU also holding their own in the semi/memory space.
- $TXG $NTRA $CDNA $TWST very impressive action continues to come from the genomics stocks.
- $CRWD $PANW $NET $OKTA $RBRK impressive group move from the cybersecurity group.
- Energy names tried to rebound today but that group is very news drive and not something I find myself playnig at the moment. $VLO $MPC $XLE $XOP
- $XLK acts perfectly fine here.
- $HPE pushing out to a new high today, $DELL into the 20sma. Should be a group to keep on watch.
- $PLTR $MSFT $NOW $TEAM software names may not have to lead but constructive action coming from those names.
- $META less than 3% from an ATH carrying the torch for the communication sector $XLC. Lets see if $GOOGL wants to hold onto its own 200sma.
- $IWO bounced at it's 200sma today and small caps are very shorted at the moment. Could that help fuel and oversold bounce?
- Traction has been a little easier to come by despite bonds falling through the floor.
- Confusing market but price is pointing to higher prices so I'm remaining optimistic unless something meaningful changes
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The percentage of stocks above their 50-day SMA in my universe has fallen below 30%.
The last time we saw breadth this weak was back in March.
I’m not saying we’ve bottomed, but it certainly feels like we could be getting close, which is why I remain optimistic.
Important context: in March, breadth stayed persistently weak for several weeks before things finally turned.
Weak breadth can stay weak. I’m not trying to call the exact bottom, just recognizing that we’re reaching levels where I want to be increasingly alert for one.
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Fear is a stronger human emotion than greed.
This is why stairs up and elevator down is a trading phenomena
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9/24/2026 Premarket Prep nitter.net/i/broadcasts/1qKVmyLoZ…
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9/23/2026 Daily Recap: Yields Ripping, Time to panic?
- $HACK $CIBR lead the way with $CRWD as this markets liquid leader. $PANW $OKTA $FTNT $NET $RBRK all act fantastic.
- Yields pushing to new highs is not helping the cause.
- Gold was looking promising for a moment yesterday but today under big pressure with the Dollar higher.
- $AMD $ARM $MRVL $INTC don't seem to care for now about the weak market breadth.
- Biotech $XBI erases all of yesterdays gains and then some closing down 4%.
- New lows vs new highs is starting to really stand out.
- $BTC $ETH come under pressure today as well.
- If you are finding yourself in the "leading names" you probably didn't realize much of todays market move. If you are struggling, this market is not yet on easy mode.
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It’s in a tape like this where you want to utilize the 6/20 setup.
Let price come into logical areas of interest.
Gauge how the overall market and group are acting.
Wait for the entry trigger.
Respect your stops.
You don’t need to predict every move. Let price come to you, wait for confirmation, and manage the risk.
Made a video breaking down the 6/20 setup.
The setup was devised by Gil Morales, but far too many people misuse it as if it’s some standalone trading system. It’s not.
It was designed more as an intraday timing tool around logical areas of support or resistance that you can identify on the daily chart.
Context still matters. The market still matters, the group a stock belongs in still matters. The setup isn’t some magic buy/sell signal every time price touches an moving average.
Hopefully this helps!
piped.video/nT_UmDSHWiQ?si=QGyJ…
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