Cosmos, Flor-Fina, Sondonesia šŸ‡®šŸ‡© - and other improbable ventures.

My book šŸ“š rating 5ļøāƒ£ Essential Life affirming A book I will re-read 4ļøāƒ£ Very Good A pleasure to read Worth 8-20h of your time 3ļøāƒ£ Good Worth it - if you like the topic 2ļøāƒ£ Average 1ļøāƒ£ Bad Unreadable/stupid šŸ…¾ļø Ouch Stay away: detrimental to your wellbeing
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It is a stupid person who makes a tidy amount of money for himself at the expense of a whole world of pain for others Eg no sociopath will take $1M to plunge his neighborhood into destitution (counterproductive) Wall St. is full of smart but stupid people (many in PE)
I HATE PRIVATE EQUITY. I HATE IT WITH SO MUCH PASSION. Not investing. Not markets. Not business in general. I hate this one specific move: a firm buys a company using borrowed money, loads that debt onto the company's own books instead of the firm's, pays itself management fees straight out of whatever profit is left, and walks away clean no matter what happens to the business. Sears was a dominant, functioning retailer when Eddie Lampert's hedge fund took it over. Over the next 13 years, it got loaded with billions in debt, its real estate and brands got sold off piece by piece to pay Lampert and his fund, and the company filed for bankruptcy in 2018 with over $11 billion in liabilities. More than 200,000 jobs disappeared over that stretch. Lampert personally walked away with an estimated $1.4 billion. He didn't lose. He was never going to lose. The debt was never his. Nobody's saying capitalism itself is the problem. I'm saying there's a version of it where you can gut a company for parts, call it "restructuring," collect the fees either way, and the law treats it as a legitimate business strategy every single time.
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Dear CEO Elon Musk is right 75% of your employees are useless (see Twitter) Doesn’t matter if you are in manufacturing (Chinese robots have 25% ROI) or in branding (AI can be both creative and data driven) Find the real A (and B+) players and unleash them
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Some videos need to be preserved to succinctly explain to future generations in Asia why ex-colonial masters Europe fell
If ever there were a metaphor for why our nations are in ruin, it's a bunch of Boomers dancing on the banks of the Seine while the sons of the third world burn Paris to the ground.
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I’m glad I’ve sold all my LVMH and Hermes stocks Dear Mr Arnault Why should I pay 3X or 4X more for your products? Ralph Lauren, or Coach - are perfectly fine A side note: if France has got no ā€œsuperior imageā€ then what does it have left?
J’ai la nausĆ©e ce soir. J’ai traversĆ© Paris Ć  vĆ©lo. Des quartiers entiers livrĆ©s aux pillards. Des jeunes les bras chargĆ©s d’objets volĆ©s. Des familles terrorisĆ©es. Du mobilier urbain saccagĆ©. Voir notre capitale ainsi dĆ©figurĆ©e me fend le cœur. Pauvre Paris. Pauvre France.
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ā€œThere’s only Ukraine, Poland, and Germany and France and the Dover Strait between you and Them !!ā€
🚨Report: British Army Chief Sir Roly Walker says UK political leaders will soon have a ā€œfrank conversationā€ with the public about preparing for war and the need for citizens to make sacrifices for national defense ā€œEvery citizen will be asked to make sacrifices and to play their part in the defence of the nation.ā€
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In short - France is finished as a great middle power Much like Germany (UK still have a chance)
My prediction IF Marine Le Pen wins the French presidential election next year (still far from certain imo) A scenario in four parts 1) The Left will incite a lumpen Intifada to rampage through the cities - especially Paris and Marseilles. Their hatred of mass democracy, bitterness in defeat and hatred of the French nation will be on full, ugly display under hammer and sickle and foreign flags. 2) Macron and his cronies will leave and encourage plenty of saboteurs behind the lines - in finance, the senior civil service, the universities, to thwart and undermine the RN. The media assaults will be relentless. Expect the ECB to try and pull a Truss-style soft coup through the banks. The French Intifada and Euro/globalist subversion will make the Remainers, BLM and Never Trumpers all seem tame by comparison. 3) The Ukraine war will be cranked up to 11. An RN government will be crucified for failing to support the NATO proxy war; political, ideological and financial pressure will be enormous. MLP will likely fold to relieve the pressure and shore up her patriotic credentials. French money will be pumped to Kyiv, and when it does, the liberals will know they have won. 4) Beleaguered, MLP will crumple and hobble through a single term, if that. Macron will return in 2032 as a saviour for France. The French people, exhausted by the elite punishment beatings and inner city riots, will resignedly accept a return to liberal centrism, and technocratic authoritarianism. Euro-populism will slowly fizzle into obscurity.
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My religion? It’s whatever this šŸ‘‡ is
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What the US did to Soviets (Charlie Wilson’s War and etc) - now China is doing to US What goes around I suppose
NEW: šŸ‡¾šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ØšŸ‡³ The Houthis are building an advanced missile that can reach all of Saudi Arabia and Israel with Chinese parts — WSJ The Houthis shipped in from a Chinese supplier a range of components needed to make a version of one of Iran’s most powerful weapons, the Kheibar Shekan Iranian precision-guided missile — report by Conflict Armament Research, a group that works in conflict zone Houthi missile would have a range up to about 1,200 miles, putting all of Saudi Arabia and Israel within reach.
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It’s a long book When people say ā€œCount of Monte Cristo is amazing and well worth the time!ā€ …. I suspect that’s sunk cost bias talking I completely felt that way with Anna Karenina - I hated it but loathed to say so
How many days did it take you to finish this book (Count of Monte Cristo)
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Golf ā›³ļø Players to watch 2027 Jacob Bridgeman Michael Brennan Blades Brown Ben James Scottie I hope wins a major (his hot streak is getting very long in the tooth) Rory might win one He’s comfortable at Augusta and St Andrews
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The problem is this Everything China touches is commoditized Chinese companies have so little scope for moat building That’s the real difference between US and China capitalism
china closing the gap w/ american ai models the future increasingly looks like a world where china leads in ai models, the united states leads in semiconductors. messy…
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The problem with autocratic systems The only IQ that matters is the IQ and mental condition of the one guy
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Elon Musk has now achieved everything that a man can ever achieve except win a war (That’s kind of a bad vibe)
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By the way That includes starting a religion I know plenty of Muskians - don’t you?
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The I’m never the issue issue
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Stock markets Nigeria šŸ‡³šŸ‡¬ Zimbabwe šŸ‡æšŸ‡¼ Argentina šŸ‡¦šŸ‡· Ukraine šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡¦ Indonesia šŸ‡®šŸ‡© One of them don’t belong in the list …
MSCI is considering double-downgrading Indonesia to standalone market
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Only in clown world 🤔 šŸŒŽ is Indonesia šŸ‡®šŸ‡© = Nigeria šŸ‡³šŸ‡¬
I posted in May about the (un)investability of the Indonesian equity market Today, MSCI launched a consultation on a proposal to reclassify Indonesia from Emerging Market to Standalone Market status This means investors don't even think that Indonesian equities can be accorded Frontier Market status. They deserve a special class on their own Reasons behind this action: ā–  Persistent opacity in shareholding structures ā–  Suspected coordinated trading behaviour (ā€œsaham gorenganā€) MSCI first sounded the alarms in June While the Indonesian authorities responded by announcing reforms, market participants have indicated that sufficient progress has not been observed consistently, markets continue to be dysfunctional, and there's lack of evidence of meaningful enforcement Therefore, reclassification to Frontier Markets would not properly recognize the depth of the market problems Add this to their current forest & land fire crisis, I think Indonesia needs a new government
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Prediction Trump walking away ā€œWe don’t need Hormuzā€ But also possible Huge escalation and bombing of major military infrastructure (to get Iran to negotiate)
JUST IN: President Trump says "we'll make a decision on Iran very soon"
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Most of us are 95-120 IQ That is, not stupid — but not smart by any fair measure When you’re young and just starting out It helps to believe that you’re smarter than you are When you’re older and more successful, it becomes No1 mental block (unless you’re really >130 IQ)
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Golf ā›³ļø The way to break 90 in 3 parts (according to a 2.5 handicap friend) 1) driver 200 meters (220y) consistently 2) master 1 short iron you can hit on any slope and on full and 3/4 swing (Suggest 9 iron) 3) master 20m putt especially on slopes
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The point is Breaking 90 isn’t so hard if you can build your game around just a few shots The drive The middle of green short iron approach The long putt The short putt
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