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Ruby retweeted
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump is ready to ease sanctions and unfreeze assets if Iran agrees to nuclear demands.
Oil dropped -4% in 30 minutes on the news and Bitcoin is also recovering a bit.
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Ruby retweeted
Bitcoin closed above $86,000 and ETH above $2,700 for the first time in nearly 8 months.
BTC is now $7,300 above the 50-week MA, signaling the bear market has now ended.
It's safe to say WE ARE OFFICIALLY BACK !!
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Ruby retweeted
Buy orders around $75,000-$76,500 for Bitcoin.
If this zone is lost, $BTC dump could accelerate.
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Ruby retweeted
I think it’s finally time to retrace the entire move.
This was a clean squeeze to liquidate all the shorts in the system.
Now send it back.
$1.8K ETH
$60 SOL
$60K BTC
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Ruby retweeted
Everyone will have a different perspective on the market.
You’re long while I’m short that’s completely normal.
The market isn’t a math problem with only one correct answer. At the same price, you might see an opportunity to go up, while I might see a risk of going down.
It doesn’t necessarily mean one of us is right and the other is wrong.
What matters is that each person has a reason behind their decision, understands the risks they’re taking, and most importantly, manages their position properly.
Don’t think you’re wrong just because someone else is long.
And don’t assume someone else must be wrong just because you’re making money.
In the end, the market is the one that gives us the answer.
$Zec
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Ruby retweeted
$82K liquidity cluster looks extremely small compare to $50k
$50K liquidity cluster sitting there untouched and massive
The gap between these two numbers tells you everything
Bitcoin doesn't leave liquidity pools this size on the table
You already know where this goes next ...
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Ruby retweeted
🚨 I told you not to long $BTC around $81K.
Bitcoin tried to break $82K and got rejected again.
$BTC pump from $67K to $80k in just 1 week was a bull trap. The bottom wasn’t really in.
I still think that $BTC will first dump towards $74K then towards $67K area.
And if any major bad geopolitical news comes then we can go much down.
NFA - DYOR
🚨 DO NOT LONG BITCOIN RIGHT NOW.
The pump will officially end this week.
And the next dump will be brutal.
$BTC plan is simple:
$81K → $78K → $72K → $66K → $62K → New Bull Run
Don't become exit liquidity.
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Ruby retweeted
24小时级别，第1次势能衰减！
8月22日BTC $78,000，已实现利润24小时峰值为1亿美元；8月22日BTC $80,600，峰值为1亿美元8100万美元。
价格更高，但实现利润没有更高。一直follow我推文的小伙伴应该知道是什么意思吧？来，大声告诉我....
对！—— 代表势能衰减。
正常情况下，价格飙升时市场交投也应更活跃。获利盘涌现，资金承接，同时拉动价格；这是需求强劲的表现。
反之，如果出现“上涨背离”则意味着推动动力开始减弱。
但“减弱”不代表立即马上“下跌”哦！
它也可以由下一波需求打破背离，或是出现二次背离。直到价格维持，但势能严重萎缩。
但至少现在我能看到的，就是在$81,000之前遇到了一点点问题。
需要强调的是，这不是让你去做空！
而是说，如果“小问题”后面慢慢变大，那么之前踏空的小伙伴就要注意了，抓紧时间找机会上车。
集中度下降，筹码开始松动！
截止到8月24日，最高的筹码峰 —— $63,000处的堆积数量从峰值的122w枚下降至98w枚；
而旁边一根$62,000的柱体变化不明显，说明短期价格拉升对这里的筹码影响不大。
就像我们在8月21日（见引文）推演未来可能出现的情形中所述：等筹码开始松动，价格就会横住甚至回调。
此后会形成新的筹码密集区。因为，价格的停留，也就给了换手的机会。
而现在看来，$76,000-$77,000区间有成为新的筹码密集区的潜力（图1）。
仅仅3天，在该区间就新增了32w枚BTC。
同时，我们看到在BTC突破至$77,000-$78,000时，
出现了一波强劲的利润兑现，也是近6个月来的最强规模（图2）。
但即便如此，价格并没有明显下跌。
很明显，这里有资金在接盘。
假设，$76,000-$77,000附近真的可以形成新的筹码峰，那么大家还记得“双锚结构”理论吗？
长期关注我的小伙伴应该不陌生吧？一旦形成这种结构，那么后续BTC的回调，就有很大概率会落在结构的中间。
也就是大致在$68,000-$70,000左右。
那问题就简单啦，现在就看$76,000-$77,000能否形成性的筹码集中区。
对！这需求一点点时间。
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Ruby retweeted
今天行情比较快，没来得及开帖，这里更新一下目前这笔空单。
1. 上一笔短空结束以后，我在76000左右重新进入了空单。
其实逻辑比较简单。
我在63000附近建立多单的时候，阶段目标本来就是74000。我认为牛市已经回来了，这个判断到现在也没有变。
但是我一直认为这一轮应该是震荡向上，而不是完全没有回调，一口气直接去84000甚至90000。
至少目前从宏观和市场结构上，我还没有看到足够支撑这种走势的信号。
所以76000左右我重新做了空。
建仓以后价格短时间迅速拉到最高79500，原本计划的止损没有按照预期执行，(提前设了止损，系统没成交)
2. 目前已经把绝大部分空单减掉了。
不是因为我已经改变了判断，而是先控制风险。
这里如果继续极端上拉，82000、84000都有可能，所以没有必要拿完整仓位去赌自己的判断一定正确。
现在剩余仓位继续观察。
如果日线有效收在80500上方，那么这一笔交易我就认错，全部平掉，休息一段时间。
如果这里最终还是站不住，重新走弱，我会考虑把减掉的空单再加回来。
这个位置让我重新追多，我暂时没有兴趣，风险收益比已经不好了。
3. 最后再说一下我的大方向。
上个月63000附近的时候，我就明确表达过这里是阶段性底部。
这个判断目前没有变化。
中长线我依然看多BTC，但是中长线看多和局部做空并不冲突。
我做这一笔空单，博的是上涨过程中的回调，不是在这里重新看熊市。
如果错了，80500以上认错。
如果对了，就继续按照计划执行。
我依然认为，明年3月我们会看到10万的BTC。
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Ruby retweeted
$BTC aggressively broke above the MA200 & EMA200 on the daily. That's a huge wake-up call for the bears
In 2018 & 2022 such a violent pump above the key MAs confirmed the end of the Bear Market 🐻❌
💭 I question myself: Do we have enough time to retrace this pump before the classic Bear Market runs out of time? And to be honest, it's hard to imagine what should happen to completely retrace this pump by mid October 🤷♂️
Maybe this Bear Market could last beyond October, but if there are no new lows by December 1st, I will flip 100% bullish
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