Chief Market Strategist at @CarsonGroupLLC 🔎 for the perfect BBQ Host to the Facts vs Feelings podcast CNBC Contributor Portfolio Manager to +$8B in AUM
Cincinnati
- Tweets 73,635
- Following 1,474
- Followers 223,708
- Likes 57,142
Pinned Tweet
Pinned Tweet
Carson offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. 14600 Branch St. Omaha, NE 68154
13
13
142
186,496
Yields up and stocks up this week. Same as we've seen all year. Let everyone else freak out about it, as both are still going much higher probably.
13
3
117
9,330
NFL has and always will stand for No Fun League 🍻
Another round: Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson was fined $13,611 for what the NFL said was his “imitation of shotgunning a beer” Sunday vs. Washington that “constituted an offensive demonstration and could reasonably could be construed as being in poor taste.”
2
25
10,886
As we were told nonstop at the start of this week, this week is historically one of the worst of the year.
Also, we were told higher yields are a bad thing and yields soared this week on a weak auction and strong economic data.
Yet, stocks are higher this week.
If they go up when they aren't supposed to, that is a nice signal. This surprise September rally isn't over yet.
26
13
250
14,776
High beta breaking out relative to low vol and staples breaking down relative to the S&P 500.
These aren't things you'd expect to see if the market was about to fall apart. Yes, breadth is weak, but there are many positives out there.
Nice one @TheChartReport
18
8
122
11,986
The rush to money markets and cash-like ETFs is real.
Septemberphobia is also real. What if all the bad things they keep telling us will happen are overblown once again and the right tail risk how we should be thinking?
Amazing chart from @MacroCharts in his note today that makes you wonder.
23
54
351
25,508
At the start of this year, S&P 500 earnings growth were expected to be up in the low teens.
It is currently close to 32% with another likely huge quarter in Q4 to come.
17
31
193
20,324
A year ago right now the Fed started to cut three times because they were worried about the labor market.
Continuing claims just dropped to three year lows, as the labor market is quickly firming up. One of our contrarian calls in our Midyear Outlook was a much better labor market in H2.
9
4
43
9,143
Not to mention leverage (liabilities as a % of assets) is the lowest it has been since the 1960s and we've seen improvement in all income brackets.
13
16
104
11,071
Yes, things aren't perfect, but there is more wealth out there than ever before and household balance sheets are in excellent shape.
14
11
87
10,349
I'm set to join @TripleDTrader and @Spus on @stocktradernet in about 10 minutes at 8:35am ET.
I might have a record number of charts, tune in!
piped.video/live/nXyaGveTrmo
2
2
20
11,891
S&P 500 was up in August and currently up in September.
We've been told repeatedly how bad these two months are.
Under President Trump though, that hasn't been the case.
15
16
208
12,855
Next week kicks off Q4 of a midterm year.
This quarter, and the next two, are the three strongest out of the entire four-year presidential cycle.
26
125
799
43,327
This could be the fifth consecutive week without a 1% gain or loss for the week for the S&P 500.
May 2023 last time we saw that. The old saying not to short a dull market comes to mind.
8
12
228
22,445
High yield relative to intermediate term bonds continues to hold tough. The first major warning would be if this began to crack.
10
5
69
12,124
Still very little stress in the high yield credit market. If there was a monster under the bed, it would show up here first imo.
17
24
252
17,485
I am the host to a brand new podcast that is all about @xuwcb and @XavierU called The WCB Exchange ⚔️ 🎙️
Ep. 2 is here and I am honored to be joined by two current finance department students.
open.spotify.com/episode/7oL…
1
16
10,659
This conversation between @WarrenPies and @philrosenn was so good. 🔥 🥇
Much of what Warren said is how we see the world and I learned a few things too. Do yourself a favor and 🎧 to this one.
The AI trade is accelerating on record earnings, massive compute demand, and high rental rates for chips.
I sat down with @WarrenPies to discuss the under-the-radar indicators he's tracking in the market right now, his favorite sectors and opportunities for the year ahead, and his latest views on the macro setup.
This conversation will make you think critically about the AI trade.
TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 - Overweight equities
3:30 - Tech-heavy market and AI leadership
5:29 - Macro shocks
11:05 - Low correlations and pair trades
13:37 - Semis and broadening trade
17:35 - GPU availability and rental rates
21:22 - Compute indicators flashing bullish
25:08 - Frontier lab ARR
30:08 - Hyperscalers leadership
32:34 - AI CapEx and the Fed
36:38 - What ends the bull run?
40:32 - Favorite sectors
41:46 - @3F_Research
5
11
126
31,881
🐐 @RickSantelli 🐐
4
1
118
18,913