German support for a Euro deterrent, first German start-up's rocket launch, nuclear risks in Ukraine, DoD memo & nuclear site upgrades in Belarus in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
Apr 3, 2025 · 9:44 AM UTC
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Most Germans (54%) support talks with France & the UK on an independent Euro deterrent, including CDU/CSU, SPD & Greens voters, which represents a public opinion shift on the importance of nuclear deterrence in Germany, as polls by @dgapev corroborate 2/10 ip-quarterly.com/en/germans-…
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Isar Aerospace, a German start-up, has successfully tested its Spectrum rocket to gather key data & experience, but Europe still faces challenges in achieving autonomy in space, including launch, reports @chs42 @DerSpiegel 3/10 spiegel.de/wissenschaft/welt…
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🇬🇧-🇫🇷deterrent need not mirror the US but should focus on specific scenarios,supported by a conventional buildup&joint 🇬🇧-🇫🇷 posture,argues James Cameron @WarOnTheRocks t.ly/9whbn, while @JPBurgard proposes a 🇫🇷-🇬🇧-🇩🇪-🇵🇱 cooperation @welt t.ly/-arNF 4/10
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Post-American Euro defense would face a nuclear deterrence trilemma - balancing credible deterrence, stability & nonproliferation - choosing 2 makes the 3rd impossible, leaving Europe with trade-offs, argue Mark Bell & @FRHoffmann1 @ForeignAffairs 5/10 foreignaffairs.com/europe/eu…
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An abandoned Cold War plan for a Multinational Nuclear Force with Anglo-French core & pan-European ships/submarines could offer a solution for a collective European nuclear launch button, controversially argues @TheOpenMike @ForeignPolicy 6/10 foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/26…
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A secret DoD memo prioritizes deterring China’s seizure of Taiwan & urges Europe to lead on Russia, but suggests US will maintain extended nuclear deterrence, reports @washingtonpost 7/10 washingtonpost.com/national-…
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An impressive @NYTimes investigation by @Adamentous reveals numerous US nuclear escalation concerns throughout Russia’s war against Ukraine & suggests how US & NATO sought to alleviate these pressures 8/10 nytimes.com/interactive/2025…
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New satellite images reveal upgrades at 🇧🇾Asipovichy site, nearby ammunition base, chemical storage for iodine prophylaxis & a new rail line connecting bases, reports @RFERL @tly/jZDS4 See #STAND paper on nukes in 🇧🇾 by @liviuhorovitz & @lydiawachs t.ly/VDWhg 9/10
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The US Space Force is developing an Orbital Carrier able to release multiple maneuverable satellites in order to address threats - a capability similar to an aircraft carrier, reports @BrettTingley @SPACEdotcom 10/10 space.com/us-space-force-orb…
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