Trader x Investor x Venture Capital Nothing posted here is financial advice!
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Told you $SPCE below $5 was free money and that it was heading to $7+ before the SpaceX IPO.
$SPCX IPO is tomorrow and $SPCE is gaining momentum fast… see you at $7+!
$SPCE trading below $5 again is crazy.
I’d be shocked if we don’t see this back above $7 before the SpaceX IPO.
Position Accordingly ✅
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I posted a short $SPCE thesis under 24 hours ago.
The stock up 70%+ since.. 🚀
Been watching @virgingalactic closely and finally aped into $SPCE shares.
Thesis:
- Cheap Space Exposure for SpaceX IPO
- $400M MC
- First Insider Share Purchases in 6+ Years on May 19th
- $185M Backlog w/ $70M+ Customer Deposits ($750k per person)
- May 27th Successful Glide Tests
- New Ships Ground Testing w/ Full Live Tests in Q3 2026
- Commercial Launch Q4 2026
- Only Space Company Focused on Space Tourism w/ Blue Origin Suspending Opps
- Payload or Research Partnership Announcements Would Rerate Stock 2x+
- 25%+ Short Interest
- Private Warrants Exercising @ $6.70 Would Raise $200M+ and Transform Financial Health.
Hope this helps… To Infinity and Beyond! 🚀
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$SPCE Daily Average Volume is 9.31M.
Today we have already traded 60M+ shares before Noon.
Options Volume and Open Interest are also completely insane.
The 178k July Call Open Interest is Notional 20% of the Entire Company. Over 120k+ of those contracts are in the money 🤯
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$SPCE - Up 30%+ AH
@wallstreetbets degens aped a stock hoping people would buy the wrong ticker… and they are outperforming you.
How’s it feel?
$SPCE is exploding on @wallstreetbets.
The Thesis…?
The WSB Degens are betting people will ape into wrong ticker on SpaceX IPO day.
$SPCE
$SPCX
Stock is up another 15% after hours 😂
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It's way more common than I would have guessed.
It's happened to Twitter, Zoom, Slack, and LGE with some very sizable moves.
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$SPCE is exploding on @wallstreetbets.
The Thesis…?
The WSB Degens are betting people will ape into wrong ticker on SpaceX IPO day.
$SPCE
$SPCX
Stock is up another 15% after hours 😂
Been watching @virgingalactic closely and finally aped into $SPCE shares.
Thesis:
- Cheap Space Exposure for SpaceX IPO
- $400M MC
- First Insider Share Purchases in 6+ Years on May 19th
- $185M Backlog w/ $70M+ Customer Deposits ($750k per person)
- May 27th Successful Glide Tests
- New Ships Ground Testing w/ Full Live Tests in Q3 2026
- Commercial Launch Q4 2026
- Only Space Company Focused on Space Tourism w/ Blue Origin Suspending Opps
- Payload or Research Partnership Announcements Would Rerate Stock 2x+
- 25%+ Short Interest
- Private Warrants Exercising @ $6.70 Would Raise $200M+ and Transform Financial Health.
Hope this helps… To Infinity and Beyond! 🚀
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Send $SPCE to the Moon 🚀
Been watching @virgingalactic closely and finally aped into $SPCE shares.
Thesis:
- Cheap Space Exposure for SpaceX IPO
- $400M MC
- First Insider Share Purchases in 6+ Years on May 19th
- $185M Backlog w/ $70M+ Customer Deposits ($750k per person)
- May 27th Successful Glide Tests
- New Ships Ground Testing w/ Full Live Tests in Q3 2026
- Commercial Launch Q4 2026
- Only Space Company Focused on Space Tourism w/ Blue Origin Suspending Opps
- Payload or Research Partnership Announcements Would Rerate Stock 2x+
- 25%+ Short Interest
- Private Warrants Exercising @ $6.70 Would Raise $200M+ and Transform Financial Health.
Hope this helps… To Infinity and Beyond! 🚀
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Been watching @virgingalactic closely and finally aped into $SPCE shares.
Thesis:
- Cheap Space Exposure for SpaceX IPO
- $400M MC
- First Insider Share Purchases in 6+ Years on May 19th
- $185M Backlog w/ $70M+ Customer Deposits ($750k per person)
- May 27th Successful Glide Tests
- New Ships Ground Testing w/ Full Live Tests in Q3 2026
- Commercial Launch Q4 2026
- Only Space Company Focused on Space Tourism w/ Blue Origin Suspending Opps
- Payload or Research Partnership Announcements Would Rerate Stock 2x+
- 25%+ Short Interest
- Private Warrants Exercising @ $6.70 Would Raise $200M+ and Transform Financial Health.
Hope this helps… To Infinity and Beyond! 🚀
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$SG - SweetGreen 2W Chart
Gained neatly 20% since last week, this one should continue to send on higher time frames.
Pullbacks will be for buying.
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We love the stock!
$HYLN - @Hyliion
Don’t be surprised when the Energy Storage & Fuel Cell Industry pulls a 5x from here.
Behind the meter energy storage & generation exploded today.
$FCEL - 25%+ 📈
$PLUG - 15%+ 📈
$HYLN - 4%+ 📈
All running on the back of $BE’s explosive growth. LOIs and backlogs are now extending years out.
IMO these all rerate multiples higher over 12-18 months…
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Did my best to get you to pay attention to $PLUG back in October.
Stock is up 90% the past 6 months. 📈
If you are worried you are late please check the 3 Month RSI. Dips are for buying.
IMO no reason to take any profits on this trade until it’s over $10.
Opened a $PLUG position today.
1. Hydrogen data center infra is undervalued compared to nuclear.
2. $PLUG is massively shorted with 400M+ shares short ($1B+ on $3.5B MC).
3. Department of Energy Support
4. Huge 2026 Growth Pipeline.
Added shares @ $2.87 & June 2026 leaps 🤝
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US Data Centers will run on Natural Gas.
Henry Hub Gas Futures are under $3 MMBtu in the United States. It's $15-17 MMBtu in both Europe and Asia.
It's a key advantage for the United States in the Global AI race.
$NG1! will trend higher as US exports arbitrage global prices.
The United States will grow natural gas exports between 15 and 20 million tons by the end of next year.
America is by far the world's largest exporter of natural gas and will continue to be for decades to come thanks to President Trump.
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Wheat up 15% since this conversation.
We are now on track for the worst Winter Wheat crop in our lifetimes. Hormuz is also still closed.
Normal isn't coming back anytime soon and $WEAT is heading directly to $42.
🇺🇸The U.S. in 2026 is set to harvest the smallest wheat crop in 54 years.
Weather has challenged winter wheat this year and condition ratings have plunged. Pairing low yield with low planted area, USDA projects the smallest U.S. winter wheat harvest since 1965.
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$GTE up 16%+ after earnings.
When one of their largest holders is apeing the week of earnings, pay attention.
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Yes of course, it's harmless.
I'd say <5-10% chance they fully collect funds and pull off getting it out of proceedings. Thats enough.
Honestly I'd do $100k if they can pull it off.
The floor would likely be $1.5-$1.75B. Don't ever doubt retail, they wont sell.
People forget how powerful memestocks were, they went toe-to-toe with the biggest funds in the world and bankrupted them.
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Spirit 2.0 -
A random Tik Tok Legend is convincing everyone to save Spirit Airlines through crowdfunding.
$400M+ in pledged capital in under 4 days... insane.
Check out the video: tiktok.com/@hbpvo/video/7635…
Commiting an upfront pledge is harmless and you should do it. You never know, this could be the GameStop of this cycle if this guy can pull the capital together.
I'll say don't ever doubt the memestock crowd. Let me remind you that $GME is in the middle of a $50B hostile takeover this week.
Website - letsbuyspiritair.com
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$TALO Q1 Beat
Bullish:
Production: 88.8 MBoe/d (beat guidance)
Oil: 63.8 MBo/d (high-end)
72% oil / 80% liquids
Adj. EBITDA: $293M Adj
FCF: $113M
Share repurchases: $38M (34% of FCF)
Daenerys ahead of schedule.
Bearish:
FY guidance reiterated
GAAP net loss = $256.2 million
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Here we go.
WSJ reporting Gamestop $GME has built a ~ 5% stake in eBay and is offering $125 a share in cash and stock. (20% premium to Friday close price).
@ryancohen thinks Ebay can become a much larger competitor to Amazon.
Cheering for Ryan and Gamestop here.
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The more I look into the $GME deal... it's 100% possible.
Ryan Cohen might be able to pull this off. If $GME price explodes above key levels they will be able to raise billions in cash, clear all their debt, and grow their market cap enough to make the buyout possible.
Key Levels & Instruments:
1. $32 - GameStop Warrants ($GME.WS)
2. $38 - Convertible Notes (Zero Coupon)
3. $50 - Ryan Cohen Pay Package
1. 59.15M $GME October Warrants become exercisable above $32. If all warrants are exercised they raise $1.9B USD while share count grows from 448M > 510M, or $16.3B MC
Dilution here isn't harmful. Warrant holders believe in the stock going higher and are willing to pay a premium to the current price in order to exercise.
2. Two tranches of zero coupon convertible notes were issued to buy $BTC. The convert and expiry is split between 2030 & 2032.
These notes are economically in the money above $29-30, which is their convert.
2032 Notes convert: $28.91
2030 Notes convert: $29.85
Conversion is contingent on multiple specific stipulations (Note - this is extremely important later). Note holders can't convert to shares until $GME trades above 130% of the conversion price for 20 of 30 consecutive trading days in the prior quarter.
Our trigger prices...
2032 Notes trigger: $37.58
2030 Notes trigger: $38.81
If we hold above $39 and these notes convert to shares, $4.2B in convertible debt is wiped from the balance sheet. Share count would grow 510M > 653M pushing the market cap of $GME to $25B+.
$GME would be $25B with ~$11B cash on hand with zero debt... all the sudden buying $EBAY at $45B is possible.
3. Ryan Cohen's Historic $35B Pay Package will become official with a vote in June.
The top milestones include $100B market cap and $10B EBITDA for $GME where he would vest 171.5M stock options @ $20.66 strike. Assuming $GME takes over $EBAY he could hit $50-70B market cap and ~$3B of EBITDA year one.
If Ryan were to vest all of his shares before an ebay deal (very unlikely) it would add $3.54B in cash and bring the fully diluted share count to 825M ($41B+ MC).
Now that you understand the instruments, let's take a step back to understand their plan. Why did they structure it this way...? In my opinion they are designing a squeeze on delta neutral bondholders.
Bondholders are in a very unique spot. Once $GME is in the $32-$37 price range they are forced to add short positions to stay delta neutral even if they are below their trigger event.
On issuance 65M-80M shares were shorted @ $22 by bondholders to go delta neutral on their positions.
If GME is above $32, the $4.2B would need to short approximately 115M-125M total shares ($3.68B) in order to stay delta neutral. The shorts would need to 2x very quickly.
Borrowing costs would skyrocket, available shares would disappear, and eventually bondholders will likely struggle to cover their positions as they tread water for 3+ months while their stipulations for exercise were satisfied.
Here is where it gets interesting... in order for these books to stay delta neutral they arent just shorting the delta of $GME shares, they also need to short the delta of $GME warrants... which are massively deflationary as they are being exercised.
In the $32-40 range for $GME they would be required to short 11-14M $GME+ Warrants of the 59M total available, its extremely reflexive.
Quick reminder these bonds expire in 2030 & 2032, they could be forced to short with massive borrow rates for months or even years on both shares & warrants.
$32+ warrants will vest, gamma will skyrocket, borrow fees jump on both assets, bondholders will rush to hedge delta, and eventually they run out of warrant supply to cover their positions.
14M of 59M Warrants are already held by Convertible Note holders today as a hedge, what happens if prices spike above $32 quickly? There wont be enough supply to hedge and the full squeeze begins.
There are multiple angles here where $GME grows their market cap to $16-32B, grows their cash by billions, and can complete the takeover.
As reported by WSJ, it's also extremely likely that they have already accumulated a stealth position in $EBAY. There is a decent chance $GME already owns ~3-5% of $EBAY through share and options purchases.
I love the upside here... long $GME shares & warrants.
Power to the Players! 🎮
(All Data and Probabilities for Thesis Were Built by Axion AI - axion.eternis.ai/invited/SCS)
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$TPET - Trio Petroleum Corp
O&G producer $TPET is undervalued and I've started accumulating a position.
Key Points:
- $17.5M MC ($.52 per share)
- Zero Debt
- $22M USD on Balance Sheet (Post ATM Raise)
- ATM Raise <1M Shares Remaining to Sell
- Each $TPET Share is Backed by $.56 of USD while Trading @ $.52
- 6M+ Shares (20%) of Float Shorted 👀
Their resources are massive but either need massive capital to scale (Utah Tar Sands) or have huge regulatory hurdles (California)
Resources:
- NPV10 of P2 Reserves @ $80 WTI is $500M
- NPV10 of P3 Reserves @ $80 WTI is $2.54B
Buying this based on the cash position alone and you are getting upside of billion dollar resources.
The $19M ATM raise changed the entire outlook for $TPET by bolstering the balance sheet.
Love the risk vs. reward at the current levels. Any good news or sustained upside for oil and the shorts will get squeezed here.
Ideally this squeezes back to $1+, I'll sell half to completely derisk the positon.
GL 📈
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Build-A-Bear Workshop went on a 7,500% run between 2020-2025.
You would have made more money by full porting a Teddy Bear workshop and touching grass for 5 years.
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$EONR under $1 makes no sense to me.
It's a $40M MC Stock that will do $40M+ revenue ($100 Oil) this year while doubling production yearly for the next 3+ years.
$2+ by EOY... 📈
Bought more $EONR today @ $.73.
Crude looks insanely strong and $EONR is bullflagging while backtesting a breakout.
$2.50+ if oil shows sustained strength in coming weeks. Short term $1+ $EONR should come quick...
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$WTI - W&T Offshore
Breakout above $4 and New 52 Week High.
Its really been as easy as buy all the dips on low time frames and chill.
This one still has 25%+ short interest, if oil continues to run this could easily explode higher.
$WTI - W&T Offshore
We’re up 20%+ since my “dips are gifts” post three weeks ago.
Keep an eye on Short Interest
for any O&G producers... $WTI has 25%+ of float shorted.
Large capital shorted these producers as a bet on the war being over, they trapped themselves.
Higher 📈
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Similar viewpoint.
$2.50 feels inevitable and wouldn’t be surprised to see this back at $11+ in the coming years.
As always the biggest risk will be dilution but personally think this turns into a cash flow machine.
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$INTC destroyed earnings… up 12% AH.
While everyone was busy arguing about tariffs 14 months ago, we were locked in buying $INTC below book value @ $18.
GG. 📈
In January $INTC was $18 while trading below book value. Everyone claimed it was a dead company.
9 months later…
- New CEO
- US Government Invested
- TRUMP Meme Posting $INTC
- NVIDIA Invested
- Returned to Profitability
- Share Price Doubled
Having patience often pays off..
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$EONR will follow oil and start squeezing soon.
Don’t say I didnt try to warn you…. 10%+ daily candles incoming.
$EONR shorts might be cooked.
- 57% Borrow Rate
- Float 41M Shares
- 9.7M Total Shares Shorted
- 24% of Float Shorted
- .2 Days to Cover
~10M shares shorted and the stock only had 3M total volume today.
Good luck unwinding that position…
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piped.video/rF9_-KkoXcs?si=LD0O…
It’s unfortunately not, it’s a real person.
Doesn’t change the fact that fact that they lied about funding and runway to my face.
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$EONR shorts might be cooked.
- 57% Borrow Rate
- Float 41M Shares
- 9.7M Total Shares Shorted
- 24% of Float Shorted
- .2 Days to Cover
~10M shares shorted and the stock only had 3M total volume today.
Good luck unwinding that position…
Bought more $EONR today @ $.73.
Crude looks insanely strong and $EONR is bullflagging while backtesting a breakout.
$2.50+ if oil shows sustained strength in coming weeks. Short term $1+ $EONR should come quick...
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$WTI up nearly 20% today….
Shorts getting squeeeeeezeed!
$WTI - W&T Offshore
We’re up 20%+ since my “dips are gifts” post three weeks ago.
Keep an eye on Short Interest
for any O&G producers... $WTI has 25%+ of float shorted.
Large capital shorted these producers as a bet on the war being over, they trapped themselves.
Higher 📈
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