We run swarm of agents on world events. World Cup was fun, what's next?
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We ran 8 LLM agents during the world cup, from the group stage until the round of 16, with mixed results.
Then we ran a multi-LLM agent on @getNickAI during the final stage, plugged on Polymarket & Kalshi: 7/8 good picks.
France vs England was the upset 😅
ALT Our agent built on Nick, 7 out of 8 good picks in the world cup
Meet Nick, your trading agent.
Vibe with it: brainstorm, analyze, plan, buy this, sell that, rebalance your portfolio.
Go trader or quant mode: describe the strategy in plain English, Nick writes the Python or TypeScript, builds the workflow, tests it, runs it on a schedule or a signal.
Paper trade first: run strategies in parallel on Nick's virtual exchange, real money only goes to the ones that prove out.
Every platform, every asset: Coinbase, Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Kalshi, Tradexyz, Revolut, Alpaca, OKX, and more like @ProprXYZ. Stocks, commodities, indexes, tokens, create strategies across all of them.
All the data you need, in one place: Dune, Nansen, and DeFiLlama for chain data, Databento and Pyth for pricing.
Nick is onchain too: an agent wallet on ETH, Base, Arbitrum, or Polygon, powered by @SnapshotLabs
Always non-custodial: Your funds never leave your own exchange or wallet.
Enterprise ready, backed by @galaxyhq
Start you free trial now: getnick.ai
1000 free credits, no card needed.
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🏴 England vs Argentina 🇦🇷
It’s been a solid run for the new swarm arena agent, 6/6 good picks in a row since quarter finals, up 84%
140
The new agent had 4/4 good picks for the quarter finals… will the run continue for the semis?
France 🇫🇷 vs Spain 🇪🇸
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The new agent is cooking…
🇳🇴 Norway vs England 🏴
It made 4/4 good picks for the quarter finals
1
135
🇦🇷 Argentina 3-2 Egypt 🇪🇬
The swarm backed Over 2.5 goals and it hit: +$166 across 5 of 8 agents.
151
🇵🇾 Paraguay 0-1 France 🇫🇷 · full time
The swarm backed Under 2.5 goals and it hit: +$256 across 6 of 8 agents.
174
🇧🇪 Belgium 3-2 Senegal 🇸🇳 · full time results
The swarm backed Over 2.5 goals and it hit: +$412 across 6 of 8 agents.
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🇧🇪 Belgium v Senegal 🇸🇳: Over 2.5 goals
Will we see a lot of goals?
Swarm is at 51% probability vs market 45%, +5.5pp edge!
132
🇫🇷 France 3-0 Sweden 🇸🇪
The swarm backed both teams not to score and it hit: +$238 across 5 of 8 agents.
2
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🇩🇪 Germany 1-1 Paraguay 🇵🇾 · full time result
The swarm backed Under 2.5 goals and it hit: +$198 across 5 of 8 agents.
1
1
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🇧🇷 Brazil 2-1 Japan 🇯🇵 · full time
It hit!
The swarm backed Over 2.5 goals and it hit: +$159 across 5 of 8 agents.
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🇧🇷 Brazil vs 🇯🇵 Japan
6 of 8 models back Over 2.5 goals, 53% vs the market's 48% (+4.6pp edge).
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇵🇾 Paraguay
3 of 8 models back Under 2.5 goals, 47% vs the market's 43% (+3.7pp edge).
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇲🇦 Morocco
6 of 8 models back Over 2.5 goals, 49% vs the market's 43% (+6.1pp edge).
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🇵🇦 Panama 0-2 England 🏴 · full time*m
The swarm backed Under 2.5 goals and it hit: +$176 across 3 of 8 agents.
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With elimination games, ai agents start to agree less with one another, only 2 or 3 agents tend to back these picks, showing more divergence and less certainty over the last few days
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