Everything lines up for the mid cycle correction imo. The times from top to bottom The amount of drops to the bottom And also it makes a lot of sense why the business cycle is in a totally different position to previous bear markets. In 2020, had COVID not shut the world down, the business cycle would have likely entered expansion without that harsh drop, making it a very similar period to today. In 2019/2020 it took 252 days from top to bottom, then 252 days back to the highs. Today, it has taken 252 days from top to bottom... And 252 days back to the highs would give us Feb next year. Nothing is guaranteed and markets are forever changing, you cant simply look back and say this will happen in the exact same way. But it definitely does rhyme. There is a very decent chance the cycle is in, or comes in before October at least... But now, with a bit of a slower recovery.
Sykodelic 🔪
@Sykodelic_
Jun 11
The more I look into this the more It becomes clear. The similarities between 2019/2020 and now are impossible to ignore. Not only does the Bitcoin structure look the same, so does: - US liquidity - Business cycle - All of the wider market charts ETH/BTC, BTC.D, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, OTHERS and OTHERS.D All of them show the same market position as 2019/2020. And when you compare it closely, so does the Bitcoin chart. In 2019/2020 the same things happened, at pretty much exactly the same time. The reason it is important to differentiate this between a mini bear market like 2019/2020 and 2020 is because the recoveries are totally different. 2019/2020 bottom to new highs was 9 months. 2022 bottom to new highs was 16 months. This entire setup is so much more like a mid cycle correction than a full end of market bear market.

Jun 11, 2026 · 3:02 PM UTC

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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Okey so for you this is the final bottom, right?
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We cant know mate. Time will tell, but the alignment is very close.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Mid cycle 100% The market had to destroy sentiment. Now the majority will fade every single move higher. All you have to do is hold now. That is, if you're in quality positions
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
mad how clean this setup looks rn
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
history doesn't repeat but it definitely rhymes hard
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
October feels generous tbh, the way sentiment is cooked right now we might not even need that long before things get stupid again
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
In fact 2019/2020 is the only time Bitcoin significantly decorrelated from the stock market for a prolonged period of time so it makes sense that it's the most likely scenario. We are clearly not in a macro bear market as I've laid out x.com/TheOrionEngine/status/…
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
They’ve sucked out every single dollar of liquidity mate😂 Just call it a bear market.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
The market loves repeating the same lesson in different ways.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Mid cycle correction with trillions of liquidity waiting to flow into Bitcoin.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Does exactly the same as the last 2bear market
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Now that's one epic move pending
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
I think we have to look at the weekly MacD too. When the MACD moving avgs cross and retest the bottom has been in. Match that up with the 200 weekly and rsi being oversold and we have some confluence for a bottom. BTC above the 0 line confirms it.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Increasing inflation doesnt exactly Bode well for lowering interest rates which you need for liquidity in your theory
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
2027 will be epic. ETH will go nuts. GOAT year coming🙏🏻🚀
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
4 months
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
i watch the timing but i care more about whether stablecoins can redeem when the market spikes reserves need to be not just numbers.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
@blackwidowbtc check this mid cycle correction
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
$40K next 🤝
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
🚀🤝🚀
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Wow….just wow
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
This is the bit where it rips higher much faster than people can imagine but enters a real multi year bear market next year imo.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Very hedged post
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
On-chain data trumps cycles every time. Real accumulation, not just charts.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
i see fresh inflows into btc wallets this week but stablecoin redemption capacity still low. that could tilt the timeline.
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
x.com/i/status/2065379796289…
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x.com/i/status/2064593928083…
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
Gold strength feels underpriced mentally
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
x.com/i/status/2061650289732…
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
The timing argument is interesting. What stands out to me is that this cycle looks more like a prolonged reset than a classic bear market. If that's true, recovery could be slower than people expect... but not necessarily weaker 👀
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Replying to @Sykodelic_
That year, America sent Satan to hell; it's hard to believe they've brought the devil back.
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