$qure $clpt
Got some DM’s about whether I think Uniqure will meet the deadline.
I personally think so but I think your guesses are as good as mine. I would assume the FDA is looking at the 4 year data and is talking about what the confirmatory trial is going to look like. This is by far the most likely thing that is going on.
My personal opinion is I think the FDA will say, dose 200 people and track them. I still believe the 4 year data is going to be extremely good. If the FDA has in hand good 4 year data, mri images, q-motor scores, I think you can honestly say all options are on the table here. If something came on health wise that is a whole different discussion, that would change this situation quite a bit, I don’t believe that is what is happening here but at the end of the day that is not impossible.
Will you panic if they miss the deadline and don’t hear from them?
Nah, I am not doing anything until I hear from the company, I don’t care if they miss the deadline and I get smoked near term. I am not selling out because they missed a deadline, you just don’t truly know what discussions are happening behind closed doors. Matt could also be waiting for the FDA to decide what the confirmatory trial is going to look like and wants to be on the call with that information.
If we want to go extreme unlikely scenario but not impossible, Uniqure actually could technically get full approval instead of aa at the end of the day. This sounds like crazy talk especially after the week we just had but hear me out. The bears will laugh me out of the room on this one but that is okay.
I think full approval is a possibility, obviously not a likely one but with all the new things the fda is talking about, you technically could get it. Not to mention all the political stuff and the signal this shows to the rare disease community. You would need the Q-motor data to be good, 4 year data, mri images, nfl. You would need all of those to align. That is a hell of a data package at that point. This is indeed crazy talk but it isn’t 0 percent. All those 4 things are not impossible for Uniqure to have and therefore you can’t put 0 percent probability on that scenario playing out. Uniqure would apply under AA just like FAYUVI did and when decision time comes they technically could grant traditional approval.
I don’t delete posts because if I am wrong I need to eat it, I have been wrong before and I am sure I will be wrong again in the future. A lot of shorts if wrong will just delete their posts and act like it never happened, that is weak, own your opinion and live with it either way. Whether right or wrong, stick to what you believe is happening and own the consequences either way. That is the way.