Trading and Investing for 30 years. Stocks, Futures, Forex, Options & Cryptocurrency. Host at piped.video/TraderMerlin
Costa Mesa, California
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If you see any messages from me selling picks, membership services or account management, it is a scam account. I do not manage money and I’m not selling anything.
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8% mortgage rates? In my opinion, that’s a bond-market story before it’s a Fed story. If long Treasury yields keep climbing, mortgage rates can get there fast. I could be wrong on timing, but this isn’t some far-off fantasy.
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Palantir just closed at its highest level of the year after that earnings-driven comeback. 80% gain in 62 days, right into overhead supply! I could be wrong, but it smells like a pullback here! #PLTR
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Bond yields above 5% tell you the market is repricing rates higher, and that’s a problem for Nasdaq multiples. I’m not convinced the Fed has to hike again, but you don’t fight this move until yields settle down.
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Bitcoin hitting an eight-month high tells me risk appetite is back... Breaking a swing high and breaking the down trend leads me to believe the bottom is in!
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Novo Nordisk getting crushed for its 2030 goals, and slow growth forecast. Over half the people I talk to say they are on Ozempic, or want to get on it! There's a bottom coming in #NVO
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This chart of Total US Government Debt is Scary! The Trend is your friend till the bend at the end! @USTreasury
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Warren Buffett has fully exited Berkshire Hathaway, with his son Howard taking the chairman role. That’s a big ask. $365B in cash will definitely help the transition!
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Merlin Rothfeld retweeted
🚨 TODAY: The SEC issued an order granting temporary, conditional exemptive relief to Tokenized Securities Venues from the definition of “exchange” in the Exchange Act to trade tokenized NMS stock using innovative permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools.
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For those of you who would like to write to your Senators who voted against the #ClarityAct, Here is my letter you are free to personalize. Make your voice heard! You can find where to send your letters here: senate.gov/senators/senators…
docs.google.com/document/d/1…
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My latest @TradingAcademy article. Midterms are Coming! At a minimum, get out there and make your vote count! At a maximum, profit from the outcome.
tradingacademy.com/culture/a…
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The U.S. should lead in crypto and digital assets, but we can’t lead while the rules remain uncertain. Congress needs to find common ground and pass the CLARITY Act. Every delay gives other countries more time to attract the companies, talent, and investment we want here.
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As of this morning, Fed futures are pricing in a 92.7% chance of a rate hike Wednesday! Do you agree with this? cmegroup.com/markets/interes…
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100%! People are focused on a lot of noise right now, but THIS data matters. If these trends persist, the impact will ripple through borrowing costs, growth, inflation and asset valuations. This could become a major source of financial instability. Pay attention.
If these moves and levels persist, let alone get worse, they will ring alarm bells across most economies as they:
Intensify affordability pressures,
Fuel headwinds to growth,
Worsen inequality,
Weaken fiscal dynamics, and
Add to financial instability risks.
#economy #markets #oil #yields
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Hey @SecScottBessent How is that bond Buyback working for ya?! The market has spoken. $6b isn't going to cut it. Maybe step it up to $6t?
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Wow! How about a little fact checking marketwatch.com! I assure that if the @USTreasury bought $6 trillion of bonds, we would be in a VERY different situation. Pfft… what’s an extra 3 zeros!
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Diesel hitting another record high matters more than the headline suggests. In my opinion, that’s a problem for any Fed-cut bets. Higher fuel costs work their way into groceries and freight fast. Up 106% in the last year, 22% in the last month!! This inflation isn’t going quietly.
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