Diesel export bans, Bunds - OATs spread, eurusd impact, shifting tides in US sovereign debt correlation to oil and equities ... without even meaning to, Bran gives a real masterclass in looking for thematic opportunities rather than "mE buY NazZdAck DiP" [insert pepe emoji].
Presciently, I can hear a few of you saying, "yeah, but it works," to which I say, congratulations, god be with you, and have a good life. Keep buying those NQ dips, just as I did this morning. Nothing wrong with that.
Understanding macro themes doesn't make you a better trader. It *can* make you a worse trader if you get too much into your head. Any performance activity, whether it's sports, sex, or trading, will suffer if the brain gets too involved. So, you still need street smarts to actually execute well as a good trader. Market Sense™ if you will. Intuition honed from years of experience that tells you when opportunity is asymmetric, when to chase, when to stand down, and all that.
But, having some understanding of market themes opens doors of opportunity to put those technical and practical execution skills to work. Without it you have no idea what's actually going on, which markets are more in play and which are dead and should be avoided. You let the market come to you and ask "what's paying right now?" rather than "let me find a trade on the only contract I ever look at."
#ES_F #NQ_F $SPY $QQQ
WTI down -13% in last 6 sessions. US10yr yields? 3bp.....
That is significant. Bonds are pricing in structurally higher growth/inflation. At some point this acts as an anchor on higher equity prices.
Join me LIVE on the daily market rundown as we discuss this and more.
1. Talk between US and Iran promising
2. European Bond spreads widening again
3. Bonds have 6 reasons to buy
piped.video/live/m_-7PEbdGa4…