My book What's Our Problem? is now available. The book introduces a new framework for thinking about our chaotic political environment. With 303 drawings, it's a toolbox for understanding our societies, our group dynamics, and our own minds. Get it here: waitbutwhy.com/whatsourprobl…
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Tim Urban retweeted
Yeah, and my take overall is that you can believe that the threat is potentially real AND have concerns about onerous regulations that create a monopoly or duopoly or otherwise restrict the right to say, for example, open source AI technology, AND while knowing full well we are in a potentially existential battle with China about who can dominate AI. Indeed, all of these things SHOULD be considered in the analysis. @adgo and I tried to explain a sensible First Amendment approach here, which both addresses the potential of catastrophic harm, which almost exclusively comes from when AI is given delegated authority, from helping keep the state’s grubby mitts off of what counts as knowledge. Also, it's a good reminder that if you place too much hope in the idea that code is speech and the First Amendment protects it, the law is decreasingly on your side. But there are other ways of protecting inquiry, information, knowledge, and truth. eternallyradicalidea.com/
I can't predict the AI future, and I'm very unsure about what the right strategy or policies should be moving forward. What I do know is that people who scoff at the idea that we may be in grave danger have not read enough about AI.
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One prominent theory says that long before our fish ancestors left the water, they did a lot of this, briefly scooting from pond to pond. Slowly, some evolved to be so good at scooting around on land and breathing air that they became fully amphibious.
You are always one decision away from a different life
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When a discussion becomes tribalized, the collective mind drops by 50 IQ points
main thing preventing us from having a productive AI safety conversation is identity. too many AI people want to be seen as intelligent by AI safety giants. too many skeptics want to be seen as critical of EA. you have to actually think. that is the only way we'll get there.
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It is not like other technologies
Replying to @waitbutwhy
Or have lived through many other moral panics involving new technologies.
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I can't predict the AI future, and I'm very unsure about what the right strategy or policies should be moving forward. What I do know is that people who scoff at the idea that we may be in grave danger have not read enough about AI.
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Tim Urban retweeted
Guys, sure, there are lots of "laws on the books" that apply to AI companies. But there is no such law preventing the creation of a model capable of rapid recursive self-improvement and if we get out-of-control superintelligence we can't just sue it after the fact!
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Tim Urban retweeted
This @waitbutwhy cartoon hits the 🎯
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There are currently zero things more important than "don't die to AI" becoming a bipartisan project rather than a Democrat-polarized issue. If you have any political capital you can spend on this, do it now, I beg of you. Life or death.
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Tim Urban retweeted
Capability vs. Safety resource allocation: Nuclear: 60/40 Aviation: 60/40 Medical devices: 20/80 AI: 99/1 Do I understand the situation correctly?
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This row of posts made me feel better and better until the last one ruined everything
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If we lived on a planet where the sky was a pale yellow that matched the sun’s color, and we heard about a planet where the sky was bright BLUE, it would sound incredibly weird and sci-fi. Just saying.
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Same thing for if we had no moon, hearing about a planet with a giant orb hovering in the sky would seem super sci-fi
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Butt dialing is one thing but a man just showed up at my house and turns out I butt ordered an Uber
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The explosion came from 2/3 of a gram of matter being converted to energy. About the mass of a paperclip.
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I cannot emphasize enough how amazing this was. Videos like this do not do it justice. Truly feels like you're sitting on the field watching the game.
Live immersive MLB on Apple Vision Pro. It felt like I was at Yankee Stadium. The whole experience was incredible. Shot through the lens with iPhone since it can’t be recorded on headset.
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Really helps you appreciate how many empty seats there are at Yankee stadium too
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The Asahi Illusion. Nothing in the center is actually brighter, but your brain sees a burst of light. Primates and rats react similarly, hinting at shared visual perception across species
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I really wish the rise of LLMs didn't come along with catastrophic job loss, massive privacy invasions, and maybe also the apocalypse. Because when you put those side effects aside, it is the COOLEST MOST WILD TECHNOLOGY EVER.
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I've recently been rewatching this whole series as cozy entertainment to fall asleep to
I’ve seen this, no shit, 300 times. And I still can’t believe this happened
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My three-year-old just asked me if our dog came from mommy's belly. Imagine being that level of disoriented.
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