Mayor Farkas gave Calgary the scary numbers. We read the assumptions underneath them.
Mayor Farkas leaned on the University of Calgary's worst-case separation number and a Calgary Chamber poll of one hundred thirty-seven people. The report itself admits, in its own final section, that it can't predict the future, so it borrowed its scariest scenario from Quebec's two failed referendums, Scotland's failed referendum, and a British trade exit that doesn't match Alberta's circumstances. It had Alberta's own year-plus-long live experiment in separation uncertainty sitting in its own backyard, and didn't use it. Meanwhile the real bill never gets a mention: a trillion dollars in investment gone, a country falling from ninth to twenty-seventh in quality of life, and manufacturers, a head office, and a pipeline already lost under the arrangement he's defending.