“Bitcoin is too volatile.”
Fine. Let’s price the volatility.
Sharpe ratio since Jan 2020, after subtracting T-bill yields:
Bitcoin 0.85
Nasdaq 0.71
Gold 0.69
S&P 500 0.58
Silver 0.54
The most volatile asset on the board paid the most per unit of risk.
Bitcoin pays you .
Want to have your mind blown?
In 1971, the median household income was $9,030, or 220 ounces of gold.
In 2025, it was $87,460, or just 25 ounces of gold.
Your paycheck went up 10x.
Measured in gold, it fell 88%.
I trust humanity to build nuclear reactors, land rockets vertically, sequence genomes, and manufacture semiconductors with features measured in nanometers.
I do not trust twelve people sitting around a conference table to determine the appropriate quantity of money.
Bitcoin is 50% below its all-time high priced in gold.
20.0 oz/BTC today vs 40.1 oz in Dec ‘24.
Every prior BTC/gold cycle made it back, between day 1,109 and 1,141 after the peak.
This cycle’s window is Dec ‘27–Feb ‘28.
A return to ATH means:
“Bitcoin has no intrinsic value.”
Correct.
Unlike a dollar, whose intrinsic value comes from a sacred government ritual where someone presses CTRL+P and your retirement gets 6% further away..
SATA has traded more than 15% of the top-10 combined preferred stock dollar volume for five straight weeks.
Before September, it had done that once all year.
$SATA .
Want to have your mind blown?
Everyone thinks that housing is getting expensive.
The median new U.S. home in 1971 cost $25,200.
That was 617.6 oz of gold.
At today's gold price, that's $2,557,096.
The median new home today? About $410,700.
So no.
Can a Bitcoin-heavy corporate balance sheet manufacture high-quality senior capital that becomes acceptable collateral elsewhere in the financial system?
What are the ramifications of this?
A 130-year-old American candy institution just got passed in market cap by a Bitcoin treasury company with ~30 employees whose current capital structure did not exist a year ago.
Through a Bitcoin bear market.
Bitcoin is powerful..
Future historians are going to read that we had an absolutely scarce monetary asset available globally 24/7 and millions of people said:
“Seems risky.”
Then they bought 30-year government bonds..
Just landed in NYC!
Mark Normand is on my flight which is cool. One of my favorite comedians.
Let me know if you wanna hang out tonight!
BITCOIN IS INEVITABLE..
The funniest part about Bitcoin is watching people spend 15 years calling it fake money while their real money loses 60% of its purchasing power.
Brother, one of these things is pretending..