Mantic is a world-class technical team on a mission to solve the next AI grand challenge: predicting global events with superhuman accuracy. mantic.com/launch

Aug 27, 2025 · 11:25 AM UTC

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Today, Mantic comes out of stealth. We’ve raised a $4m pre-seed led by @Episode1VC, w backing from @DRWTrading & leading AI researchers. Our team comes from Google DeepMind, Citadel, research at Oxford and Cambridge, and Foresight Data Machines.
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We aim to exceed the accuracy of human superforecasters on questions about geopolitics, business, technology, culture, and policy. Our latest system sets a new AI state of the art, backtested on 348 questions from Q2 2025.
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Forecasting requires deep research and reasoning, so computer models don't beat the top humans. Our system thinks like a human forecaster, but with digital speed and scale. We'll deploy this capability to power radically improved decision-making in business and government.
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Read our launch blog: mantic.com/launch We're hiring. Join us: mantic.com/#careers
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
Really impressive work in Q1 and Q2! We'll see you competing again soon for the Fall AIB series, right? metaculus.com/tournament/fal…
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Yes we'll be there!
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
What does it say about the results from continuing to scale AI development? Eg does it think about AI x-risk?
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
Excellent stuff
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
Will we really get GTA6 in time?
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
@threadreaderapp will you unroll this thread?
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
hari sheldon
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
Predicting global events? I'd be curious to see their accuracy metrics compared to expert forecasters like Tetlock's superforecasters.
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
Menlo Times
@menlotimes
28 Aug 2025
Mantic @_Mantic_AI Emerges Out of Stealth Mode to Provide a New Kind of Foresight. Mantic, a platform that predicts global events with superhuman accuracy, led by Ben Day and Toby Shevlane @tshevl, announced its launch with a world-class team of AI technical staff, including experts from Google DeepMind, Citadel, the universities of Cambridge and Oxford, and other AI startups. Mantic has raised $4 million in its pre-seed round led by Episode 1 with backing from DRW and various top AI researchers at Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Mantic is advancing the frontier of AI forecasting accuracy, winning the top prize in the Q1 2025 Metaculus AI Benchmark Tournament and setting a new state of the art when backtested on 348 questions from Q2 2025. Read More At: menlotimes.com/post/mantic-e… Source: mantic.com/launch
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