The Fight Club competition on @PhoenixTrade is a scam.
They don't reward traders. They reward a couple of KOL's. KOL's get a good meal in Dubai, traders get shit.
Below is the 6 biggest claims of the first 15k$ day.
5 wallets claimed 6k$ of the 15k$ and hardly traded anything. Pure referral income.
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Ace retweeted
Updated @solsticefi Moon Math for @xeetdotai rewards 🚀
the Top 100 will share 1% of the SLX supply
but how much will each user at each rank get?
Here's the breakdown 👇
Two things we need to predict the rewards;
> potential FDV
> breakdown of SLX across the Top 100 creators
1⃣ Potential FDV
Here are some of the facts;
> $900k & 14% of the target Legion raise was met for SLX
> Polymarket odds for over $50M are 84% now
over $100M is 32%
> Huma Finance, raised $45M, has a FDV of $246M
> Meteora has $600M TVL and a FDV of $250M
Looking at Polymarket odds, competitors & Legion pre-sale, I assume we're looking at a FDV of around $70-90M ✅
2⃣ Breakdown of Rewards
I did more research into how other projects have rewarded content creators; Infinex, Hana, Theoriq, Arbitrum, Katana, Lombard etc.
-> they all had top heavy reward systems
the formula is similar to;
> wi = 101-i (i=1..100)
This would equate to the following % of rewards;
Rank 1 -> 1.98%
Rank 3 -> 1.94%
Rank 10 -> 1.8%
Rank 50 -> 1%
Rank 90 -> 0.2%
Rank 100 -> 0.02%
3⃣ Rewards Calculation
1% of $70-90M FDV -> around $800k in rewards
Rank 1 -> $15,840
Rank 10 -> $14,400
Rank 100 -> $1,600
I do think we might get more rewards flowing to the bottom of the Top 100 from the top but at a minimum the bottom user can expect $1,600 imo
This is for sure going to be an absolute cook for those on the leaderboard 🔥
Where are you ranked on the Xeet LB rn?
gSolstice!
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Ace retweeted
Solstice CEO @ben_solstice took the stage today at Solana Breakpoint.
CONFIRMED: SLX token sale is coming - Dec 22nd.
Intern holds USX, do you?
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Ace retweeted
If you're holding USX right now, you might want to keep holding.
If you’re not - clock is ticking. 🌒
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With the most likely delayed TGE, this seems to be a realistic approach.
Time for updated @solsticefi Moon Math 🚀
With only a 6% chance at TGE in December we need to calculate for more total Flares...
The good news is the airdrop numbers still look great
Here are my updated calculations 👇
In order to get an accurate airdrop prediction we need an estimated;
> FDV
> Total number of Flares
> Allocation of Flares for airdrop
1⃣ FDV Prediction
I previously compared Solstice to other Solana projects;
- Meteora, $650M TVL -> $340M FDV
- Kamino Finance, $2.5B TVL -> $440M FDV
- Drift, $930M TVL -> $210M FDV
- Orca, $350M TVL -> $84M FDV 👀
I'm a big Solstice bull but we also have to be realistic on the FDV
Based on the above, I'd expect a FDV of $100M-$125M ✅
2⃣ Total Number of Flares
Total Flares right now -> 38B
The current Flare emission rate (calculated by @WittyChartGuy) -> 1.89B/day
BUT, don't forget we now have the Ethos boosts & USX & eUSX one-off boosts coming soon
I expect daily Flare emission to average out to around 2.2B/day
Expected TGE date -> 82% chance by March via @Polymarket
Let's assume end of Feb TGE
That's 90 days * 2.2B -> 198B + 38B
Total expected Flares -> 236B 🔥
3⃣ Allocation of Flares
I think we see another milestone hit
Expecting 8.5% supply of SLX for Flare holders by TGE
4⃣ Final Calculation
> $125M FDV
> 236B Flares
> 8.5% allocation
That's $10.6M in rewards for 236B Flares
$0.000045 per Flare
or $45 per 1M Flares ✅
I'm now expecting at least 35M Flares by TGE
Which would still be a $1,575 airdrop ⭐️
What do you think? Am I being too bullish or bearish?
gSolstice!
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Ace retweeted
Stablehacks 2025: @marcusmaute of @solsticestaking will join the panel with Kamino, Fireblocks, Morpho, and Steakhouse.
See you in Zurich. 🇨🇭
⏳ T-minus one week until the Global Stablecoin Roundtable hosted in collaboration with @Solana and @tenity_global!
We're excited to have @solsticefi, our client and partner, join us as a sponsor for the event along with @Keyrock, @Morpho, @FireblocksHQ and @SteakhouseFi, whose expertise and collaboration are instrumental in shaping this evolution in crypto.
This closed-door gathering will also include expert voices from finance, technology, and regulation including AMINA Bank Board Member Hans Kuhn and senior leaders from companies like @UBS,
@Bybit_Official, @BlockdaemonHQ, @Postfinance, @P2Pvalidator, @FTI_Global, @zkb_ch, and @AllUnityStable.
👉 Register now while spots are still open: eu1.hubs.ly/H0pYTyW0
What to Expect
✔️ High-level conversations with senior executives and innovators
✔️ Panels exploring stablecoin use cases, technology, and regulatory frameworks
✔️ Networking with leaders across banking, fintech, and digital assets
Event Details
📍 Venue: Tenity HQ, Zürich
📅 Date: Tuesday, 2 December 2025
⏰ Time: 14:00 – 17:00
#AMINAEvents #Stablecoins #DigitalAssets #FintechInnovation #Web3 #Blockchain
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This is probably the most realistic calculation. Lots of moon maths going around.
Time for revised @solsticefi Moon Math 🚀
Been seeing insanely bullish airdrop numbers float around...
But are those numbers hopium or realistic?
Here are my updated calculations w. details 👇
In order to get an accurate airdrop prediction we need an estimated;
> FDV
> Total number of Flares
> Allocation of Flares for airdrop
1⃣ FDV Prediction
Solstice is an amazing DApp & great product
However, I realistically don't think we get a FDV above $150M
Here's some Solana based projects we can use to estimate a realistic FDV;
> Meteora has a $350M FDV with $650M TVL & $950M in annual fees
> Kamino Finance, the largest lending platform on Solana with $2.5B FDV has a marketcap of $150M and a FDV of $480M
> Drift, the largest perp DEX on Solana, has $930M TVL, $43M of revenue & a marketcap of $90M with a FDV of $219M
> Orca, one of the largest DEX's on Solana, has a FDV of $84M
These are some of the largest & most profitable Solana DApps, with more TVL than Solstice & have marketcaps between $84M -> $480M
Conclusion: Realistically expecting a $125M FDV for Solstice ✅
2⃣ Total Number of Flares
Total Flares right now -> 24B
The current Flare emission rate -> 1.5B/day
BUT, don't forget that USX & eUSX holders will get a retroactive 4x, 6x, 10x & 15x Flare boost for holding 1-3 months -> 20B Flares
With expected TGE for December 21st (bull case) that's 43B more Flares
Total Flares by TGE: 87B
3⃣ Allocation of Flares
The team confirmed the 8% Flare allocation will all be going to S1 which is bullish
4⃣ Final Calculation of Airdrop ⭐️
> $125M FDV
> 87B Flares
> 8% allocation
That comes out to $10M in rewards for 87B Flares
That's $0.0001149 per Flare 🔥
1,000,000 Flares would be $115 ✅
I am expecting 25M Flares by TGE
Which would be a $2,875 airdrop 🚀
Amazingly bullish tbh so I'd agree with the bullish sentiment of the other calculations
What do you think? Am I being bullish or bearish?
gSolstice 🔥
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Ace retweeted
Looks like the @solsticefi team is swooping in to save the YT-eUSX holders with a 1- time loyalty bonus of flares.
Two thoughts:
1: Thank you Solstice team for taking community feedback and some responsibility for the affects the launch of YT-USX caused to the market Exponent markets.
However...
2. I want everyone to know that teams don't always come swooping in to the rescue, this is more of a rare case in investing as we are the only one's responsible for our investment decisions.
Was still bullish Solstice regardless of the compensation.
To 100M Flares 🫡
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Ace retweeted
I was going through @solsticefi faqs as I’ve been doing for the past 3 days and found something worth sharing about fund verification.
“how can i verify my funds are safely backed” and the answer is pretty solid.
they have a proof of reserves dashboard with real time verification through api integrations with custody providers. you can see current collateral ratios, custody attestations, and performance verification.
technical users can even run independent verification scripts against public apis. the verification runs independently from the fund management systems.
this is transparency that a lot of protocols don’t offer. you’re not just trusting them when they say your funds are safe, you can actually verify it yourself.
the fact that verification operates separately from management systems matters too. means you’re checking against independent custody providers, not just trusting solstice’s own reporting.
if you’re deploying serious capital, being able to independently verify backing is huge not just taking their word for it.
yield protocols tell you tvl numbers and you just hope they’re real. solstice lets you verify through custody provider apis.
sharing this because people should know they can actually check this stuff themselves. don’t just trust, verify.
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Ace retweeted
This is the biggest reason why you didn't see anyone on your TL celebrating BTC ATHs or aren't that overjoyed that BTC is over $100k.
Because retail stopped buying.
Institutional buyers are the ones supporting price through their demand at this point, which is why BTC doesn't collapse as fast as other altcoins without big names behind them.
There is no crypto bear. Just altcoin bear.
Retail Investors, the Biggest Absentees of this Cycle
“We are seeing the rise of new whales, companies building treasury reserves, and addresses that accumulate without selling. All of this makes the current cycle structurally different from previous ones.” – By @Darkfost_Coc
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Ace retweeted
$250m+ TVL milestone hit - bigger rewards pool just unlocked. 🌞
We're expanding the upcoming SLX airdrop to 8% of total supply.
Your Flares now claim a bigger slice. Next goal: $375m.
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New way to get flares on @solsticefi.
I supplied around $120 USX to YT-eUSX to try it out. I got around 25k flares. I have to see in the following days if it's still a great (but risky) option instead of the 2 choices in the next post.
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1) Holding USX:
$100 x 5 (holding mult) = 500 daily flares x 30 days = 15,000 flares
$100 x 6 (1 month mult) = 600 daily flares x 30 days =18,000 flares
Total = 33,000
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