INTEL’S CEO SAYS QUANTUM GOES MAINSTREAM IN THREE TO FIVE YEARS
Lip-Bu Tan said it at a financial conference in Singapore this week. Not a quantum startup raising money, the CEO of the company that built the chip industry. He also noted he personally owns some
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Intel missed mobile, and was so late to AI that the US government took a 9.9% stake in the company last year to keep it standing. Tan was brought in to stop it missing anything else.
Intel’s quantum bet is unlike anyone else’s. IonQ traps ions, Google chills superconductors, Infleqtion holds atoms in lasers. Intel makes its qubits out of silicon, on the same 300mm tooling that prints its processors. If the physics scales, Intel can stamp out qubits by the million in fabs it already owns.
A 12-qubit Intel machine went live at Argonne National Lab in January. Next target is hundreds of qubits. Small next to the pure-play roadmaps. The difference is Intel doesn’t need to build a factory first.
Google says useful quantum by 2029, Anthropic says its AI just made the circuits 17x cheaper, the WTO was told encryption has five years, now Intel says three to five. The dates are converging.
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