You can’t get hyperinflation in the reserve currency because the demand isn’t coming from your own economy, it’s coming from everyone else’s. Roughly 58% of global FX reserves sit in dollars, per IMF COFER data. Trade between Brazil and Indonesia gets invoiced in dollars. Foreign borrowers owe something like $13 trillion in dollar debt they have to service no matter what the Fed does at home. That’s a demand floor no other currency has. Look at what happened after 2008. The Fed’s balance sheet went from $900 billion to $4.5 trillion, then to nearly $9 trillion in 2020. In Argentina or Zimbabwe, that kind of expansion chases a fixed domestic goods basket and spirals into a wage-price loop. Here it got absorbed into global demand for dollar assets, mainly Treasuries, because there’s nowhere else deep enough to park that capital. The euro can’t absorb it. The yuan can’t, not with capital controls still in place. Weimar Germany is the counter-case that proves the point. The Reichsmark had no external demand cushion, so every mark printed chased the same shrinking basket of goods at home. That’s the actual mechanism behind hyperinflation. Reserve status breaks it before it starts.
You cannot have hyperinflation in the reserve currency.

Aug 28, 2026 · 5:56 PM UTC

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Replying to @amlivemon
Ummm. A coffee used to be a nickel and a house used to be $50k
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And wages $2.50 an hour
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Replying to @amlivemon
"Look at what happened after 2008. The Fed’s balance sheet went from $900 billion to $4.5 trillion, then to nearly $9 trillion in 2020" "it got absorbed" What you just described is inflation. It will continue and it will get worse. Call it hyper or not, same same.
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No… it’s not the same at all
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Replying to @amlivemon
so you get slow persistent inflation?
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Yes where they try it offset with wages and gdp
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Replying to @amlivemon
Yall are learning. The rumors of American demise are over exaggerated.
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Who is yall? I’ve said this forever
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Replying to @amlivemon
Good post
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Replying to @amlivemon
Hyper or not if we don't get inflation under control the house of cards will collapse.
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Replying to @amlivemon
What if the demand from outside slowly wanes- as is happening now
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Replying to @amlivemon
wrong. The fact that 80% of printed dollars are not circulating in US is what suppresses inflation in US. If faith in the US dollar is lost, all those dollars will return to the US causing super hyperinflation that is worse than regular hyperinflation.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Reserve status has it's benefits🤔greenback has utility everywhere!
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Replying to @amlivemon
But if it stops being the reserve currency, then we run into trouble. Which is why JD Vance's comment about it being a bad thing that the dollar is the world's reserve currency is moronic.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Lol, tell me about the demand. Is it true that at our last auction, the winner to purchase our debt was the Fed itself? If that foreign demand dies, and gold takes over, as it appears to be, them your reserve becomes just another currency, which leads to hyperinflation
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Replying to @amlivemon
Inflation in the United States occurs because the total value of goods and services produced within the country is less than the total value of dollars in circulation. Expanding the domestic supply of goods and services will lead to price equilibrium.
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Replying to @amlivemon
More dollars less power and leverage of USA over the countries too
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Replying to @amlivemon
It’s not hyperinflation. Rather a deflation when the debt crisis happens.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Ya bro definitely gonna stay reserve currency forever bro even tho the U.S. lost Hormuz bro Infinite printing forever bro
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Replying to @amlivemon
You keep thinking everything is fine, when the metrics are only getting worse. It's not falling apart entirely yet but that's not a comfort. The coming years don't look any better... If anything worse. Much worse. Imagine socialism being voted in and paid for by inflation.
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Replying to @amlivemon
foreign countries hoarding of reserve currency is the mechanism why US can print a lot of money without causing high inflation. But if those demand is lost, it will cause super hypinflation.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Or hyperinflation was only way to destroy german culture use them as ram against russia as you couldnt flood Germany with immigrants? If you can destroy a culture with migration dont need hyperinflation. Zimbabwe hypered bcuz no one wants to go there. post hoc ergo propter hoc
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Replying to @amlivemon
Incorrect. US could jack up the circulating money supply per capita to the point of hyperinflation in response to the next crisis (God forbid). The demand floor is exceptionally large, but *not* unlimited, as the post-covid inflation has already made clear.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Well said
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Replying to @amlivemon
The core of the matter is rather the impact of fiscal dominance dynamics
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Replying to @amlivemon
Great explanation 🙌
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Replying to @amlivemon
People who think the US can experience hyperinflation and people who actually believed there were mines in the SoH should join each other in never commenting on anything again
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Replying to @amlivemon
But greater inflation can push the demand to weaken and hedge hence the rise in gold as well for reserves for many countries
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Replying to @amlivemon
Is asked grok to treat us debt as part of global economy: Measure Amount Share of 2026 world GDP (~$126T) Debt held by the public ~$32T ~26% + SS + Medicare 75-year shortfall ~$88T ~70% Combined stock + 75-year social insurance gap ~$120T 95% Are you still unconcerned?
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Replying to @amlivemon
You are an idiot
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Replying to @amlivemon
YOU can get hyperinflation in a reserve currency, its effects can be muted for a time. DEFLATION CANNOT BE MUTED AND AFFECTS EVERYONE.
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Replying to @amlivemon
Youre multi annual tweet reminder. Forever trolling ian bremmer.
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