CEO of FTSG. Quantitative Futurist. Prof @NYUStern. 4x bestselling author. Competitive cyclist.
Somewhere between 2026 - 2126
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Hello again!
I joined Twitter in 2007, back when it was a weird little experiment, and stayed for nearly two decades as it became the place where I did my public thinking β signals, forecasts, arguments that occasionally changed my mind. I was there for the fail whale. Then, all my people left, and I stopped using the platform too. My conversations moved to private groups, and Iβve been mostly quiet on social media since.
After a long hiatus, Iβm now back... on Substack. I'm lurking here, but if you want to chat you'll find me over there. The next few years will be stranger than most people are prepared for. Let's make sense of them together.
substack.com/@amywebbfuturisβ¦
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Over the weekend, Dario and Sam said that everyone in AI needs to slow down development. I graded the announcements against all fifteen principles I published in The Big Nine.
Here is the full scorecard.
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As you know, AI leaders are breathlessly calling for slower frontier model pacing to make sure humanity doesn't end.
In 2019, I wrote about this very situation in The Big Nine and offered concrete plans for what to do when we got to this day in the future.
I'm thrilled (read: extremely irritated) that our lawmakers sat on their hands and the debate now is more about market consolidation than safety. (1/ many)
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The global alliance I proposed in that chapter β with independent inspections, shared vulnerability reporting, an actual governance structure β was never tried in the US.
I'd met with EU leaders several times, but by 2020 their attention had moved elsewhere.
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I've republished the chapter in full, unedited, with a new intro showing what held up and what I got wrong.
I see no reason to keep treating the people creating the danger as the only people qualified to decide what happens next.
I'm angry. You should be too.
amywebbfuturist.com/p/ais-leβ¦
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In 2017, I thought that the Rolling Stones would be dead but still making new music thanks to a nascent generative AI tool for music. I got the band wrong but the tech right.
(Literally, how are they still performing?!)
I'm grading my previous scenarios -- read on to see how I scored on this one.
amywebbfuturist.com/p/calledβ¦
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Amy Webb π€·π»ββοΈ retweeted
Please join all of us at Future Today Strategy Group in congratulating Brielle Saggese and Taylor Milana on their promotions to Senior Consultant π We're excited to recognize this well-earned milestone and look forward to everything they'll continue to accomplish!
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The bicycle is turning into one of the first everyday objects that can perceive its surroundings, predict what's about to happen, and act on it β a preview of what's coming for your car, your glasses, and your home.
I have a new piece on why the messiest tech market I know is about to converge, and what that means for everyone even if you don't ride a bike.
open.substack.com/pub/amywebβ¦
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Is there by any chance a spreadsheet of the journalists laid off from the #WashingtonPost -- for those who might be hiring?
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Amy Webb π€·π»ββοΈ retweeted
ποΈ This week, FTSG's @amywebb joined host @meghamama on @Marketplace to unpack a growing shift in how ideas circulate online. Amy discusses what private forums mean for democracy, discourse, and the future of digital communication. Listen belowπ
buff.ly/Mk0DO68
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I posted this 10 years ago on Twitter and thought a reminder was warranted.
Ben Franklin lost a son to smallpox. His sobering advice to parents on vaccinations: bit.ly/18OrIIR http://t.co/IpvjTiQemq
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Thank you for hosting me @OCInnovation! I loved seeing all the incredible AI and emerging tech being created in Canada!!π¨π¦ π€
Wow! What an amazing session with @amywebb!β―β―
Amy delivered powerful insights on Emerging Tech Trends! Her expertise in strategic foresight and innovation is truly unmatched. β¨
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At long last @amazonβs Kuiper finally launched. Itβs the long-planned low Earth orbit satellite network that will compete against Starlink to disrupt our current internet infrastructure.
cnn.com/2025/04/28/science/aβ¦
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