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To Our Ethiopian Neighbours: War Is Not the Answer
As I said during the last Tigray war, my message to our Ethiopian neighbours is simple: Please stop the war. You will eventually stop it anyway, but only after tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, have died.
The last war was horrific.
@AbiyAhmedAli and
@reda_getachew were on opposing sides, with Isaias Afwerki backing Abiy. Now Getachew is with Abiy, while Isaias is aligned with his former Tigrayan enemies. If anything captures the futility of war, this does.
We Somalis went down that rabbit hole, and 40 years later, we are still trying to get out. Ethiopian governments spent much of that time arming our clan rebels and warlords and interfering in our affairs. Some Somalis may now wish Ethiopia the same fate. I am not one of them. I am a patriotic Somali who wishes Ethiopia, Eritrea and all our neighbours peace and prosperity.
Ethiopia’s problems are political and require political solutions. Abiy will not subdue the Amhara, Tigrayan and Oromo rebellions through force alone.
Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, the US, AU and UN have spent nearly two decades trying to defeat Al-Shabaab militarily, yet the conflict persists. Israel has not subdued the Palestinians, the US has not subdued Iran, and Russia has not subdued Ukraine.
Even the most powerful armies cannot simply bomb political and communal grievances out of existence. Sooner or later, a political settlement becomes necessary.
If I were Abiy, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate and a religious man, I would tell Ethiopians: Let us stop fighting, build a democratic federal country and learn to compete politically without killing one another. If my resignation would bring peace, I would be prepared to resign.
I would also assure Ethiopia’s neighbours that their ports and territorial waters are not coveted. Ethiopia already has sea access. Its persistent demands for sea ownership, however disguised, only alarm its neighbours and invite hostility.
It is largely Ethiopia’s political elites who have brought the country here. Ordinary Ethiopians would rather be farming their land, raising their families and working their way out of poverty.
As my Pakistani friends used to say whenever someone was doing something foolish: Please use your head.
And the buck stops with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. Wars rarely settle political grievances. Even those who win wars eventually have to make peace with those they failed to destroy.
Why not make that peace now, before another futile war claims hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions, of Ethiopian and Eritrean lives and brings untold suffering to millions more?