Professor of Political Science @uwmadison. Director of @electionscenter. First gen college grad. Native Ohioan. Also bcburden.bsky.social
Madison, WI
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3 different Senate polling patterns
* New Hampshire: rock steady
* Texas: jumpy
* Michigan: trending
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Our little state holds less than 2% of the population. In my time here it has produced the NFL, NBA, and now MLB champs. Congratulations #Brewers
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Tune in at 7pm tonight. Put the Brewers on a second screen.
UW Now Live: Making Sense of the Midterm Elections uwalumni.com/events/uw-now-l…
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So thoughtful to schedule this in the gap between the NLCS and the World Series
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: The governor's debate live statewide at 7 p.m.
Watch live on WISN in Milwaukee, WKOW in Madison, WBAY in Green Bay, WXOW in La Crosse, WQOW in Eau Claire and WAOW in Wausau
Also streaming live on the WISN 12 News app and WISN 12 YouTube and Facebook pages
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FINAL #VoicesIntoVotes before the midterms! Barry Burden, Caroline Tolbert & Julie Persons discuss Futureproofing Democracy.
Fri 10/23 | FREE catered reception 5 PM | Program 6 PM | UI Old Capitol
@UiPolisci @jcauditor @CityofIowaCity @votehawk
icfrc.org/events-1
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Five weeks from today — register now to join @ElectionsCenter in person to make sense of the 2026 midterms and American electoral politics more broadly
elections.wisc.edu/page-even…
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This is not what happened in 2022. The polls were accurate. Speculators ginned up a narrative about a red wave that didn’t materialize politico.com/news/2026/10/15…
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For the unfamiliar: Elections, Public Opinion, & Voting Behavior is an organized section of the APSA. In addition to robust representation of behavior and opinion research at the APSA annual meeting, the section holds a stand-alone conference each year. connect.apsanet.org/s32/
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The fifth annual EPOVB conference will take place @UWMadison on May 13-14, 2027! Please submit your paper & poster proposals by the Dec 1 deadline.
Supported by @epovb & @ElectionsCenter
The proposal form & conference information are available here: elections.wisc.edu/epovb27/
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It feels good to reject an academic paper for the old fashioned reason of low quality rather than for inappropriate use of AI
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Embarrassing and sad. I have met with these observers multiple times over the years. The US course expect other countries to allow our observers. ms.now/news/trump-midterms-o…
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Trump this week:
Again promised every adult $5,000 to vote for his party
Offered another private dinner with people who buy the most of his crypto coin
Used more government money to run campaign ads for himself
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Not much polling bias in recent midterm elections
The direction of polling error in recent years:
* 2008: Unbiased
* 2010: Unbiased
* 2012: R bias
* 2014: D bias
* 2016: D bias
* 2018: Unbiased
* 2020: Even bigger D bias
* 2022: Unbiased
* 2024: D bias, less than 2016/2020
* 2025 (e.g. NJ/VA): Big R bias
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Funny for him to say House is a sure thing for Dems when Cook’s ratings have the party barely winning a majority if they split the toss-ups. The trick is that the toss-ups will not divide equally but we can’t say exactly which will go D versus R. thehill.com/homenews/campaig…
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That’s one way to celebrate America 250
Starbucks to shutter about 250 stores in latest round of cafe closures cnbc.com/2026/09/24/starbuck…
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A violation of free speech, the First Amendment, and good government
BREAKING: President Trump says he is banning CNN, MSNOW and Politico from the White House over their coverage. apnews.com/article/trump-cnn…
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