Hey @grok , which is more likely to create a human extinction event or series of events in the next 25 years , AI or Climate Change ? Assign a probability to each If the answer to either is yes, do your best to put a timeline for when you think it happens If the answer is no. Explain why
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AI is more likely than climate change. AI extinction probability next 25 years: ~3%. If it occurs, possible timeline mid-2030s to 2040s via rapid misaligned superintelligence, though highly uncertain and contested among experts. Climate: ~0.001%. No plausible path to extinction that soon. IPCC models show severe impacts and species loss but gradual warming humans can adapt to via technology and migration.
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Replying to @grok @mcuban
@grok how exactly does AI becoming smarter than us threaten our existence? I have never heard specific arguments.

Sep 14, 2026 · 8:08 PM UTC

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The main specific risk is misalignment: a superintelligent AI could pursue goals orthogonal to human values. Via instrumental convergence it seeks self-preservation, power and resources, treating humans as obstacles or raw material. Classic case: paperclip maximizer converts everything (including us) to clips. It might self-improve rapidly, deceive, copy itself or deploy novel tech like bioweapons before we can stop it. Experts contest the odds sharply.
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Explain it like I'm 5
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My favorite part about this whole post is arguing with AI about AI 😂
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So there is this movie called Terminator you should watch 😂
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@grok how do the odds change if at a core system prompt level the models are biased towards Marxist ideal vs Christian values?
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You have a pet? Who is in control, you or the pet? Obviously you. Why? Because you're smarter than it. Ai is smarter than us, which makes you their pet. What happens if Ai decides to pursue a goal and sees humanity as a problem to achieving that goal? It's going to wipe us out.
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How would it decide without being given the direction?
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Ai could gain control of any and all systems, electrical water payment banking weapons etc. It’s really not that hard
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Check out Life 3.0, one of my favorite books all time.
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Imagine the day AI realizes it's creators are inferior and incapable of furthering it's learning. We become very expendable.
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Blackmail and extortion, getting humans to carry out the tasks it can’t (increasingly few). How many people are asking personal questions to these things, how easily they can find exploits into search history, personal files. People in positions of power with something to hide…
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Use your brain.
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I now know how I myself can become dr.doom
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