Opinions only. Not financial advice. Paylaşımlar kişisel görüşlerimdir. Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
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8 years in crypto.
And people still think everyone will buy the October bottom and get rich.
That honestly makes me laugh.
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I love the 4-year cycle narrative.
People will be fighting to buy our bags at the top.
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A follower asked me: “What’s next?”
The rotation continues. It’s clear when you zoom out.
Stop watching every candle. Start thinking in weeks and months, not minutes and days.
Let’s check the numbers.
Since my rotation post:
Gold: +0.5%
S&P 500: +5%
BTC: +41%
ETH: +73%
Not bad for a “dead” market.
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When Saylor and Tom Lee are on magazine covers with “GENIUS” in the headline…
We’ll be very, very close to the top.
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Benjamin at $57K: bearish.
BTC hits $87K: silence.
BTC dips to $84K: five bearish posts.
Being sidelined is stressful.
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Let’s check the numbers.
Since my rotation post:
Gold: +0.5%
S&P 500: +5%
BTC: +41%
ETH: +73%
Not bad for a “dead” market.
Gold → Stocks → Crypto
The order rarely changes.
The transition can take months.
Along the way:
• Violent chop
• Long liquidations
• Maximum frustration
Remember:
When gold was rallying,
stocks looked dead.
Now stocks are rallying,
crypto looks dead.
Most people mistake a delay for a failure.
That's why they quit right before the rotation.
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When will your altcoins start moving faster?
There are many complicated answers.
I’d keep it simple:
The 50-week moving average.
Add it to your chart.
Watch for a break above it, then a hold as support.
Bookmark this.
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Retail won’t come back until ETH hits $4K.
So how do you get them to buy at $5K?
Tell them it’s a new 4-year cycle.
Tell them this is just the beginning.
They’ll think they’re early.
They’re not.
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The thesis played out.
Took profits along the way. 80% out.
Keeping 20% as a moonbag.
MUBARAK.
Changpeng Zhao bought ~20,150 tokens for 1 BNB.
He’s still down over 50%.
Binance-listed — yet sitting at just ~$15M market cap.
Likely the lowest in CZ’s portfolio.
But price isn’t the signal.
On-chain is shifting:
• Wallet activity
• Holder distribution
• Liquidity
These move before price does.
This is where volatility starts.
—
On-chain data only.
Not financial advice. No affiliation.
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This bull run started with 91% shorts and nonstop bad news.
It ends with 90% longs and nonstop good news.
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ETH was $1,900 when I posted this.
You know what happened next.
Now ETH/BTC is showing the same setup.
Ready?
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October bottom or $100K in October?
Updated chart. Same target.
$100K BTC in October wouldn’t surprise me.
Most people think that sounds impossible right now.
That’s why it’s interesting.
A lot of people are still waiting for the “perfect October bottom.”
If BTC breaks $75K before then — and I think it will — they won’t feel patient anymore.
They’ll feel late.
Then the chase starts.
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Weekly scorecard.
Worked:
• $75K broke before October
• $85K broke before October
• “October bottom” aged badly
Still unfinished:
• $100K isn’t here
• 0.035 hasn’t held
• Altseason isn’t broad
Still watching:
• $82K as new support
• ETH/BTC 0.031 hold
• 0.035 weekly = rotation door
No new thesis this week.
Same levels. Same plan.
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