$BTC Currently, there are two main scenarios I’m watching: #1: We retest the recent range highs and continue the overall uptrend from there. #2: We sweep the recent range lows first and continue higher from there. Looking back at the previous bull cycle, the breakout structure looked extremely similar to what we’re seeing right now. Back then, instead of simply continuing higher, BTC dumped back into the range and swept the recent low. This cleared out the majority of long liquidity before price quickly broke out again, leaving almost no time for longs to re-enter. From a liquidity perspective, the second Scenario would make more sense. But there’s one important problem with blindly expecting history to repeat. The market changes. BTC is now traded much more heavily by institutions, and its market structure and liquidity dynamics don’t necessarily have to behave exactly like they did during the previous cycle. Waiting for the “perfect” repeat of the last cycle could simply leave you sidelined. That’s exactly why I’ve already shared limit longs for both scenarios. If we retest the range highs, I’ll buy. If we sweep the range lows, I’ll buy there too. I’m not going to sit on the sidelines praying for the lowest entry possible while the market moves without me. If everyone is waiting for the exact same lower entry, don’t be surprised if market makers let price front-runs it and leaves them behind.

$ETH Big long opportunity here. Price is currently retesting the golden Fibonacci level of the recent pump, which also aligns with the previous range-high support. This is a massive support level which will be hard to break for ETH, especially with the highs still being unswept. If we hold and bounce from here, I expect price to target $2900 next. However, once we get a daily close below $2500, the setup gets invalidated and $2350 becomes the next major liquidity target. I just entered a swing long at $2550 with a soft stoploss, meaning I’ll manually close the position if we get a daily close below $2500. This comes with additional risk, but it prevents us from getting swept. If you don’t know how to manage your position and risk accordingly, please don’t follow this trade and wait for the next opportunity.

$BTC If this plays out again, the market is be about to pump hard... Looking at the current range structure, it looks almost identical to the range we broke out of one month ago. Back then, price failed to sweep the liquidity above the highs multiple times. Instead, it went for the liquidity below the range lows first, flushed out leveraged longs, and then reversed aggressively, taking out the short liquidity above and using the resulting short squeeze as a catalyst for the strong move higher. Now, the current range looks almost identical. But this time, we have an additional support below. A sweep of the current range lows would also bring price back into a retest of the previous range-high breakout area. Currently price is already down around 5% from the recent high without any relief, flushing out a significant amount of long positions so now there are more shorts then longs in the LTF market. All of this suggests if this pattern repeats itself, a reversal from the lows could send price towards $90K very quickly. My limits are set and my plan is laid out. We’re getting close to my first swing-long zone. If that level doesn’t hold, I’ll simply look to build my position below the recent range lows.

Short squeeze loading...

Not every level needs to be filled. The market often leaves the most obvious scenario untouched. Currently, we have three equal highs with significant liquidity sitting directly above them. Still, price reversed right before taking them. But why? We’re at the beginning of a HTF uptrend, and if price is going to push higher over the coming months, clearing leveraged long liquidity below can actually create a healthier foundation for the next expansion. It flushes late longs, resets positioning, and allows new demand to enter at lower prices. Meanwhile, the short liquidity above those equal highs doesn’t necessarily need to be taken immediately. In fact, leaving those highs untouched can become useful later. As price trades lower, more shorts can build up, while stops and liquidation levels accumulate above the highs. If price eventually reverses higher, more shorts getting closed or liquidated at the highs which could be used as a catalyst for price to push even higher and faster.

$BTC I’m going long. Entries: $82.325 - $81.840 - $81.240 - $80.040 Targets: $93.790 - $98.560 Stoploss: $79.260 This is the first of two buy zones where I want to catch the next major move. From here, I see two scenarios: Either we use the recent range highs as support and push higher, targeting the major liquidity clusters above the next major highs, or we go for the long liquidity below the range first and push higher afterward. If we lose this trade, I’ll double down on position size at my second long area below $75.000.

$BTC Everyone doubted me... I was right again. Price is now down almost 4% from the recent high, breaking the LTF uptrend I told you was unhealthy. Price has now swept the first major long liquidity cluster and is currently trading in the middle of the range. Our short trade is up over 1R, so I’m moving my stoploss to entry here, making the trade risk-free. Price is now in discovery, but looking at the data behind this dump, we can see that a lot of perp shorts are entering the market while longs remained sidelined. This is why I expect price to soon retest today’s breakdown area around $85.000. As long as we stay below this resistance, I expect price to continue lower and target the liquidity below the recent lows at $82.500.

$NEAR | $PEPE Both my trades are still running in profit with their stoploss at entry. No risk. No changes. Till SL or TP.

$BTC Just accept it... the market is about to dump. From here, a 10% drop would liquidate over $13B in long positions, while a 10% move to the upside would take out less than $4B in shorts. This shows just how heavily longs are currently outweighing shorts, leaving significantly more liquidity below price than above. The one move I could still see before the larger drop is a sweep of the highs towards $87.500 - $88.500. This is currently the biggest short liquidation cluster, with almost all of the remaining short liquidity ($3B). Sweeping those highs would only make the imbalance even more extreme. After that move, there would be barely any short liquidity left above, while even more long liquidity would likely build below. So for me, there are two scenarios: Either we dump from the current level, or we sweep $88.500 first and see a massive long squeeze right after. A bullish continuation without proper pullback is not sustainable much longer. Price will take out these late longs...

$BTC Q4 just started, and we closed the previous quarterly candle as a bullish engulfing candle. This looks bullish, and I expect the current quarterly candle to close green as well. I still believe the bottom is in and we’re at the beginning of the next bull cycle. However we just opened a new quarterly candle, and that’s exactly where a manipulation move becomes most likely. I expect and want price to retrace toward the 50% level of the previous quarterly candle before continuing higher. Moves against the overall direction shortly after a new candle opens are common before expansion in the opposite direction. The current quarterly candle also has almost no lower wick, which gives me another reason to expect downside at some point.

$BTC Lets try something stupid here... Im only risking 0.2R

$BTC M...M...M...Manipulation

$BTC This is not what a bottom structure looks like. The market never leaves liquidity like this untouched.

$BTC Reversal coming soon... This pump is exactly what I predicted in my recent post. Right at weekly open, price is pumping and squeezing out the majority of the remaining shorts in the market. Looking at the data behind this move, we can see that it’s mainly perp-driven. Spot is buying as well, but nowhere near enough in relation to the pump we’re currently seeing. I’ve seen this market behavior many times before. We manipulate in one direction with a mainly perp-driven move around the weekly open, reverse, and then distribute in the opposite direction afterward. That’s exactly what I think is currently happening... Massive amounts of long liquidity is stacking up below market, while the PA around the recent lows doesn’t look like a proper bottom structure to me. This looks like another liquidity driven move, which is completely normal during accumulation phases like this. I’m still waiting for price to sweep the lows before adding more into my long positions. Until then, I’ll stick with my scalp short and stay patient for price to make its move.

$BTC Short Trade: Entries: $86.100 - $87.480 Targets: $82.500 - $80.130 Stoploss: $88.110

$BTC next move: Since Friday’s dump, price has been slowly chopping higher while traditional markets are closed. Looking at the data behind the move, you can see that this pump is mainly being driven by perp longs entering the market, which is not a good signal. I expect price to pump around the new weekly open, retesting the golden Fibonacci level of the recent dump + the uptrend, followed by bearish continuation. My main targets are the liquidity clusters below the recent major lows at $82.500 and $80.000. I’ll use these levels to scale further into my current swing long position. From a liquidity perspective, this move makes a lot of sense as well. There aren’t many shorts in the market right now as they were already cleared by last weeks sweep, and we’re currently liquidating a lot of the few remaining late shorts. From there, I expect price to take out the much larger long liquidity clusters below before continuing the overall trend higher. The bull market is fully intact, so from here, I want to use every larger pullback to scale further into my long position.

$BTC Market is about to dump... This entire pump is being driven by long perps absorbing the heavy spot selling. Spot has already sold more than 50% of the recent spot buying, yet price continues to grind higher. Now that we are trading at the range highs again, more upside becomes almost impossible to sustain. We just swept one of the two major recent highs and saw an immediate rejection. If we start breaking down from here, things could go pretty fast. Even if we get one final push higher, I don't think price can break the remaining high to the upside, they will only sweep it before the reversal. The liquidity at $82K remains my primary target.

$BTC Price will start dumping soon. And I still stand by that opinion. The current market structure is becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. There are now more than 4x as many longs as shorts, creating a heavily one-sided positioning imbalance. That doesn’t mean I expect BTC to suddenly crash below $60K. My overall bias remains bullish. But before the next major push higher, I still expect price to clear the liquidity around $82K. There is simply too much sitting below for the market to leave untouched. Right now, we’re approaching the local highs and the remaining liquidity above. Once those highs get swept, I’ll start building my swing short position. That liquidity below has to be cleared before the next expansion higher.

$BTC This is pure market manipulation. And I expect price to retrace this move hard. We’re about to close the 7th consecutive green 4H candle, which is historically, a perp-driven market manipulation move that tends to create an increasingly unstable market structure. Moves like this rarely continue its direction, they tend to get retraced extremely fast in one aggressive move. For now, its still possible for price to sweep the remaining upside liquidity first. After that, I’m looking for a quick reversal and a sweep of the recent lows.