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🏈 NFL SUNDAY BEST PLAY #3: collab w/ @FrannysPlays 🍻 George Pickens “O” 22.5 Longest Reception (-120) Played: BetMGM | Bet: 1u • Pickens is one of the most explosive receivers in the league, last season with Dallas - Pickens averaged 15.5 yards per catch, finishing with 22 receptions of 20+ yards & four catches of 40+. His 2025 game log shows his ability of those big catches: 45 yards vs Panthers ✅ 43 vs Eagles ✅ 43 vs Jets ✅ 44 vs Washington ✅ 39 vs Chiefs ✅ 38 vs Chargers ✅ 37 vs Raiders ✅ • His role is still downfield oriented - PFF has Pickens at 13.3 yard average depth of target this season so far. That’s important for a longest reception prop like this one. We’ve also seen Dallas get into heavy passing schemes as Prescott has thrown for 455 yards & 6 TDs, while Dallas is averaging 28.5 points/game. • The Cowboys also have a high end secondary weapon in CeeDee Lamb, which can force defenses to account for multiple receivers & leave Pickens open for a deep one. The Ravens have also already allowed explosive plays, they’ve allowed 418 passing yards through two games (209/game). Pickens also has a great history vs The Ravens: - 2022: 78 yard longest reception ✅ - 2023: 18 yard longest reception ❌ - 2023: 41 yard longest reception ✅ - 2024: 30 yard longest reception ✅ • He has yet to really show his “BIG PLAY ABILITY” this season & he’s going to show it in this international game, I can bet on it 😉! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #GeorgePickens #DallasCowboys
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🏈🔐 FULL CFB SATURDAY BETTING CARD: $25 TO SOMEONE THAT 💬 + ♻️ WHEN WE SWEEP! • LSU Tigers + Utah Utes + Boise St Broncos ML (+130) • Tennessee Volunteers +4.5 vs Texas Longhorns (-105) • Oregon Ducks 1H ML vs USC Trojans (-135) • Ole Miss Rebels +7.5 / Missouri Tigers +13.5 (-104) • Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 1H vs Michigan Wolverines (+100) • Oklahoma State Cowboys ML vs West Virginia Mountaineers (+105) unit sizes for each play displayed in the graphic, all played on onyx. ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING!
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🏈 NFL SUNDAY BEST PLAY #2: collab w/ @SpadePicks ♠️ Carnell Tate “O” 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Played: DraftKings | Bet: 1u - Tate’s yet to truly break out but has a matchup fit for it this Sunday against the Giants. This secondary is extremely banged up & if Deonte Banks (Q) sits, even more so. - Despite going under in his first two NFL games, Tate has shown strong underlying metrics. He leads Titans receivers with a 30% first read target share and 40% air yard share. - Spears is also Q for this one and the Titans shouldn’t be able to get the run game going anyways, should be a pass heavy script with a secondary that Tate should feast against! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #CarnellTate #TitanUp
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🏈 NFL SUNDAY BEST PLAY: collab w/ @MailManLockz ✉️ De’Von Achane “O” 3.5 Receptions (-113) Played: DraftKings | Bet: 1u Love this spot for Achane on Sunday as the Dolphins host the Chiefs. Miami is currently a 10.5-point dog, which should bode well for Achane's involvement in the pass game. Two weeks into the season, Achane has run the most routes of any RB in the NFL (48) and has posted a 20% target share (second-highest in the Dolphins). After OC Bobb Slowik’s comments about Achane’s 14 touches in Week 1 being “too low”, he came out and led the Dolphins with 6 targets and a 26% target share in Week 2, including 2 designed screens. Caleb Douglas will also miss this week, whom currently ranks third on the Dolphins in targets. Expecting the target share to be extra concentrated between Washington and Achane, with Chris Bell still ramping up. There is also projected to be some weather in this game, with a 55% chance of rain. If this does affect the game flow, it should lead to more short area passes for the Dolphins, where Achane is most often looked to, boasting a 1.5 aDOT this season. We’ve also seen RBs in lesser usage roles as pass catchers cook against KC this season, with both JT and Harvey logging 4 receptions, respectively. Assuming the game script holds and Willis keeps looking his way, it should be wheels up for Achane in Week 3! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #DeVonAchane #PhinsUp
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NFL Thursday Recap (9/25): ✅❌ (-0.89u) this one hurts the soul with the volume kraft had, but just couldn’t convert for more yards. the read was perfect, he also had 4 receptions & they counted his 5th reception as a “rush” on the deflected catch 🤦‍♂️
🏈 FULL NFL THURSDAY BETTING CARD: $15 TO SOMEONE THAT 💬 + ♻️ WHEN WE SWEEP! • Michael Penix Jr “U” 19.5 Completions (-132) • Tucker Kraft “O” 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110) • Tucker Kraft 5+ Receptions (+142) • Tucker Kraft 1st TD Scorer (+900) full writeups posted. ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING!
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🏈 FULL NFL THURSDAY BETTING CARD: $15 TO SOMEONE THAT 💬 + ♻️ WHEN WE SWEEP! • Michael Penix Jr “U” 19.5 Completions (-132) • Tucker Kraft “O” 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110) • Tucker Kraft 5+ Receptions (+142) • Tucker Kraft 1st TD Scorer (+900) full writeups posted. ❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING!
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🏈 NFL THURSDAY BEST PLAY #2: collab w/ @DylansDailyWins 🏅 Tucker Kraft “O” 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Played: DraftKings | Bet: 1u Tucker Kraft 5+ Receptions (+142) Played: FanDuel | Bet: 0.5u Tucker Kraft First TD Scorer (+900) Played: Onyx | Bet: 0.15u • I’m very very big on Kraft tonight against the Falcons, he’s averaging 16 yards per catch through 2 games this season, so just 3 receptions at his current average gets him to 48 yards (he’s currently -200 for 4 receptions). • His ceiling can become way bigger than what it’s started this season, although Week 1 he opened it up with a 3 reception 65 yard game against the Vikings. The Packers have a QB who can create explosive TE plays. Kraft averaged 15.3 yards per reception in his shortened 2025 season & had 489 yards & 6 TDs in eight games. • His career profile supports the explosive play angle - this isn’t a tight end who needs 7–8 short catches to get there. Kraft has averaged: 13.8 yards/reception over his career 14.1 in 2024 15.3 in 2025 16.0 so far in 2026 • He’s also had 24 career receptions of 20+ yards and four receptions of 50+ yards since entering the league. Kraft is also seeing 18.5% targets per route through 2 games this season. • The Falcons are WITHOUT A.J. Terrell - For Kraft specifically, Terrell’s absence isn’t a direct 1-on-1 matchup because Kraft generally works inside against linebackers/safeties, but it removes Atlanta’s best coverage piece from the defense and could make Green Bay’s passing attack more efficient overall. • I’m also taking a stab at the 5+ receptions at + money as I believe he has a great game tonight & taking the stab at his + money first TD scorer as I believe Love might find him open for one early! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #TuckerKraft #Packers #GoPackGo
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🏈 NFL THURSDAY BEST PLAY: collab w/ @FrannysPlays 🍻 Michael Penix Jr “U” 19.5 Passing Completions (-132) Played: DraftKings | Bet: 1u The first player under of the season for us will be none other than Michael Penix 😈 • The Falcons should rely heavily on their rushing game throughout this one. This is Penix’s first start in 10 months after suffering a torn ACL, and it comes on a short week on the road. Atlanta is already a run-first team, and I expect an extremely run-heavy game plan here. • Penix never recorded more than 22 completions across his six healthy road starts last season, averaging only 17.5 completions per game. As a matter of fact, he has only one career game with 22+ completions. That only makes me like this play even more. • Cooper Rush saw only 22 total passing attempts against the Steelers in Week 1\. Then in week 2 Rush/Strand couldn’t even complete 20 combined passes despite trailing by a huge margin throughout the entire game. • The Falcons are going to chew up a lot of clock through the run game, and I 100% believe there’s value here even with the low line. • If you’re an ATL fan thinking Penix is going to be the one to save your season, you must’ve had a miserable last two weeks because now you’re delirious. The Robinsons are going to be FED in Green Bay. The only way this loses is if Bijan has half the receptions! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #MichaelPenixJr #DirtyBirds
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We checked every price on today's board (58 sides, 12 books). Best-price count: @ProphetX leads with 20, @PolymarketUS next with 10. No single book wins every line, which is the whole point of shopping. The running scoreboard: theoddsgap.com/books
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NFL TNF PLAY #3 ‼️ Michael Penix U19.5 Passing Completions #DirtyBirds vs. #GoPackGo Collab w/ @coleyscashes The first player under of the season for us will be none other than Michael Penix 😈 The Falcons should rely heavily on their rushing game throughout this one. This is Penix’s first start in 10 months after suffering a torn ACL, and it comes on a short week on the road. Atlanta is already a run-first team, and I expect an extremely run-heavy game plan here. Penix never recorded more than 22 completions across his six healthy road starts last season, averaging only 17.5 completions per game. As a matter of fact, he has only one career game with 22+ completions. That only makes me like this play even more. Cooper Rush saw only 22 total passing attempts against the Steelers in Week 1, while Rush/Strand couldn’t even complete 20 combined passes last week despite trailing by a huge margin throughout the game. The Falcons are going to chew up a lot of clock through the run game, and I 100% believe there’s value here even with the low line. If you’re an ATL fan thinking Penix is going to be the one to save your season, you must’ve had a miserable last two weeks because now you’re delirious. The Robinsons are going to be FED in Green Bay. Best Odds: -132 on DraftKings ♥️ IF YOU LOCKED IT IN!
NFL TNF PLAY #2 ‼️ Matthew Golden O22.5 Long Reception #GoPackGo vs #DirtyBirds Collab w/ @PropKitchen Matthew Golden has quickly developed into one of Green Bay’s primary downfield threats, and his role has expanded dramatically to start 2026. Through two games, he has drawn 18 targets, caught 10 passes for 153 yards, and already posted a 42 yard reception in Week 1. Golden saw 12 targets with an 87% route participation rate, 31% target share and 12.2 yard aDOT in the opener. In Week 2, he ran a route on 32 of Jordan Love’s 34 dropbacks and saw another 6 targets. His longest catch finished at only 18 yards, but he was targeted multiple times downfield and drew defensive pass interference on some of those opportunities, so the vertical usage never disappeared. In games where Golden has seen 4+ targets and played at least 32% of the snaps, he has cleared this line in 6/8 games, averaging a 31.9 yard longest reception. We don’t need massive volume here. One of those 5 to 7 opportunities simply needs to turn into a chunk play. Atlanta has already allowed several WRs to clear similar longest reception numbers through two weeks: ✅ Tetairoa McMillan: 28 yards ✅ Jalen Coker: 25 yards ✅ Xavier Legette: 55 yards ❌ DK Metcalf: 14 yards ✅ Michael Pittman Jr.: 28 yards That’s 4/5 comparable WRs over, and even Metcalf’s miss came with several legitimate deep opportunities left on the field. Pittsburgh targeted him repeatedly 20+ yards downfield, including a dropped deep ball and another vertical target that drew interference. A.J. Terrell has now been placed on IR, leaving Atlanta without its best corner. C.J. Henderson and Mike Hughes are expected to handle more work outside, and both gave up significant production against Carolina. Golden has been functioning primarily as a boundary receiver, putting him directly into those outside matchups rather than relying on occasional slot snaps to find Atlanta’s weaker coverage. Jordan Love is one of the better quarterbacks in football at giving his receivers a chance downfield. In 2025, he completed 43.4% of passes traveling 20+ air yards, while his off target rate on those throws dropped to 26.4%. Golden doesn’t even need a true 23 yard bomb to cash this. An intermediate completion with room after the catch can get there just as easily. Green Bay’s rushing attack has struggled through two games without Josh Jacobs, producing 129 yards on 39 carries for just 3.3 YPC with 0 rushing TDs. Love threw 42 times in Week 1 and another 29 times in poor weather against New York, giving Golden plenty of chances to stay involved. Jayden Reed’s neck injury could further concentrate routes and targets if he’s unable to go. Golden’s 18 yard long in Week 2 doesn’t bother me much because the opportunity was still there. He ran nearly every route, drew 6 targets, saw multiple downfield looks and still finished with 58 receiving yards. That’s very different from a receiver being confined to short area work. With Golden running a near every down route tree, Love willing to push the ball downfield, Atlanta already allowing explosive WR plays and Terrell now out of the secondary, we like Golden to break off a 23+ yard reception against the Falcons. Best Odds: -121 on DraftKings ♥️ IF YOU LOCKED IT IN!
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Let’s Build off a Tremendous Tuesday! See yall soon!! 🫡🔥 nitter.net/i/spaces/1DGleVdzQXOJL
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Hello everyone, I put together a free guide showing which betting platforms protect NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB player props when a player gets injured. All I ask is that you like and repost so more bettors can see it 🤝 Full Guide ⬇️ drive.google.com/file/d/1US8…
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Davante Adams “O” 22.5 Longest Reception (-112) ✅ collab winner w/ @TurkeyGoblinSB We move to 4-0 on collabs this season. A 31 yard touchdown from Stafford to Adams will do!
🏈 NFL MONDAY BEST PLAY #2: collab w/ @TurkeyGoblinSB 👺 Davante Adams “O” 22.5 Longest Reception (-112) Played: FanDuel | Bet: 1u • Adams looks to be in a PRIME spot with both Puka + Whittington OUT for this game. He’s proven time & time again that his deep play ability is still very good. His 2025 splits show very good big play upside. • Adams also has a very strong track record against the Giants for catches of 23+ yards or longer going over in his L3/4 matchups averaging a longest reception of 24.3 yards. He failed to go over this line in the Rams Week 1 matchup against the 49ers, a game we won’t take much into consideration due to the fact of Stafford & the Rams NOT looking like themselves. • I also believe the Rams rely a lot on the ground game tonight with Williams/Corum in the backfield due to Puka being out, which will only help Adams find some open looks downfield IF the Giants main focus is the ground. Stafford will find his #1 target tonight which is Adams. Stafford + Adams & what matters: 1. Adams already showed explosive-play ability with Stafford in 2025. Adams finished 2025 with 60 catches for 789 yards, averaging 13.2 yards per catch, with a 44-yard long. He also had 14 catches of 20+ yards. 2. Adams was substantially more explosive when the Rams were trailing. In 2025, when the Rams were behind, Adams averaged 17.3 yards per catch and had a 44-yard long. When they were ahead, he averaged only 10.9 yards per catch, with a 33-yard long. 3. Stafford himself is capable of creating these plays. In 2025, Stafford threw for 4,707 yards and 46 TDs, with an 88-yard longest completion. So Adams doesn’t need to manufacture 23 yards after the catch. Stafford can give him an opportunity downfield with ease. 4. Week 1 is actually part of the argument for a bounce-back. Adams had only 3 catches for 26 yards on 6 targets, with a 13-yard long, while the Rams scored just seven points & now are WITHOUT Puka/Whittington in an offense that will rely on Adams in the receiving game tonight. • Stafford specifically said after the loss last week that the Rams didn’t have enough plays to get into a rhythm, while Adams said they need to get back to executing and that Week 1 shouldn’t be expected to represent what they’ll look like every week. Be expecting an explosive play from Stafford & Adams tonight! 🔬 Research @PropsEdge Code “COLEY” for 20% off! #GamblingX #NFL #DavanteAdams #RamsHouse
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