The Fed is printing money to buy US Treasury bills... more than during Covid.
- Covid: ~$320B
- Last 9 months: ~$355B
Everyone is talking about the Fed hike... no one is talking about Warsh printing money Covid-style to buy UST bills.
At the same time, Bessent is issuing more UST bills to buy back US long-term debt.
In other words, the Treasury buyback is nothing else than QE in disguise.
We don't own enough hard assets for what's coming.
FED MAY BE LOSING CONTROL OF LONG-TERM YIELDS
CIFC says long-term Treasury yields are increasingly driven by forces outside the Fed’s control, including heavy government borrowing, $100+ oil, AI infrastructure spending and a global bond selloff.
Last week’s rate hike reshaped the yield curve but failed to lower overall yields.
Weak demand at the latest 5-year Treasury auction reinforces the risk that yields remain biased higher despite further Fed tightening.