Male. Pleb. STIR, funding markets, & monetary mechanics. Subscribe at conks.plumbing for serious works. Pro: pro.conks.plumbing. Merch: store.conks.plumbing

London/Norf, UK
we don't know who struck first, us or them, but we do know it was us that gave the Tamagotchis perpetual constipation
JUST IN: Meta unveils Muse Charm, a Tamagotchi-style AI gadget designed to fit on a keychain, with Zuck calling it a “joyful little device.”
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> pick random Fed-related chart > misrepresent what the Fed is doing > "you don't own enough hard assets" > acquire elon bucks > repeat
The Fed is printing money to buy US Treasury bills... more than during Covid. - Covid: ~$320B - Last 9 months: ~$355B Everyone is talking about the Fed hike... no one is talking about Warsh printing money Covid-style to buy UST bills. At the same time, Bessent is issuing more UST bills to buy back US long-term debt. In other words, the Treasury buyback is nothing else than QE in disguise. We don't own enough hard assets for what's coming.
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*taps sign*
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SFRZ6Z7Z8 fly looks toppy 5s30s looks bottomy
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tell us what will break
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TWO-YEAR U.S. TREASURY YIELDS LAST UP 0.85 BASIS POINTS AT 4.904%
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didn't take long
FED MAY BE LOSING CONTROL OF LONG-TERM YIELDS CIFC says long-term Treasury yields are increasingly driven by forces outside the Fed’s control, including heavy government borrowing, $100+ oil, AI infrastructure spending and a global bond selloff. Last week’s rate hike reshaped the yield curve but failed to lower overall yields. Weak demand at the latest 5-year Treasury auction reinforces the risk that yields remain biased higher despite further Fed tightening.
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you are not anti-communist (bullish) enough
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pepperidge farm remembers how you called for a recession because of an inverted yield curve
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you couldn't make this up
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U.S. TREASURY YIELD ON 10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE HITS 5.081%, HIGHEST SINCE JULY 17, 2007; LAST UP 10.57 BASIS POINTS AT 5.073%
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yields up = the Fed's lost control of the market yields down = the Fed's manipulating the market hope that helps
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they gonna bring out the classic (and useless) S&P500 earnings yield vs. U.S. Treasury yield chart at this rate
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Conks retweeted
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oh you're a Treasury auction expert? name all the bidders
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the Fed guides the 2y yield *disables comments*
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*taps sign*
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the last thing you see before bond vigilantes become a real thing
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