Ran the numbers on a $500K house at 6.75%.
Live there 7 years, then sell.
-Monthly payment: $2,594
-Total payments: $217,929
-Interest paid: $181,079
-Principal paid down: $36,850
Seven years of payments and you own $36,850 more of the house than you did on day one.
Add property taxes, insurance, maintenance, closing costs and the 6% to sell it, and roughly $355K is gone for good.
You walk away with about $215K of equity, most of it your own down payment plus appreciation.
Now the other path.
Rent at $2,900/mo (rising 3%/yr) for the same 7 years: about $268K gone.
Take the $100K down payment and put it in the S&P 500 instead. Using the actual last 7 calendar years of returns, including the -18% year in 2022, that $100K is sitting at roughly $305K.
$305K in a brokerage account vs $215K in a house. And the renter spent $87K less getting there.
Before anyone yells: the last 7 years were one of the strongest stretches in market history. Run it on the 2000s and the house wins. This is a backtest, not a forecast, and past returns don't promise anything.
But "renting is throwing money away" is a bumper sticker, not a spreadsheet. Run yours before you sign.
If “renting is a scam” please let me know your thoughts on the following:
- Median duration of homeownership is 12 years (many homeowners spend most of their ownership paying mostly interest each payment)
- Many overlook maintenance costs, property taxes, and transaction costs
- Home equity is usually not as asset funding retirement (outside of downsizing, borrowing against, or becoming a renter)
- When excluding home equity, the median homeowner STILL has significantly more wealth than a renter