In the data mines. NFL on thespade.substack.com CFB transfers on transferportl.com. golfastR. on/off guy. 2 QB offense. views are my own

Philadelphia, PA
New on The Spade this week: Total EPA Grouped by Run Gaps for Each NFL Team Through 4 Weeks open.substack.com/pub/thespa…
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I thought this was a really good question so I edited the post on the stack and added two new vizzes that dive into this. Attempted to break it down even further. I’ll always miss stuff when trying to do weekly deep dives because of timelines, but I’m always happy to follow up and look into things further
Couldn't the results be balanced that way as you start the year with warm weather with a bit sloppier play, and end in cold weather with more of a defined team?
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I am monitoring the situation
Matthew Golden now has an NFL-high 95 yards from defensive pass interference penalties. Second place has 54 (Tre Harris). Only five guys (underrated) had more all of last season.
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Ray Carpenter retweeted
Nick deserves a bajillion more follows. I know that the content he's going to be producing is going to be as good as Bijan's performance last night.
Bijan Robinson now owns the three biggest outside zone games by any running back since 2022, per @SumerSports. Last night: 17(!) outside zone runs for 155 yards in a 35-14 win against the Packers, including this 55-yarder. So what is outside zone, and why do the Falcons spam it so much? #DirtyBirds Leaders in outside zone rushing yards in a game since 2022: 1. Bijan Robinson, 170 (vs. Rams, 2025) 2. Bijan Robinson, 155 (at Packers, LAST NIGHT) 3. Bijan Robinson, 150 (vs. Bills, 2025) 4. Breece Hall, 138 (at Patriots, 2023) 5. Derrick Henry, 137 (at Bills, 2025)
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Week 3 TNF tic tac throw
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Someone bet on my Harry Kane ragebait tweet going viral?
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Surprised Bijan was in for the next snap after that huge gain. Maybe it had something to do with the crisp Wisconsin fall weather
Tomorrow morning: Do running backs need more breathers on the next snap in hot games?
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transferportl.com's best available portal running back now off the board
Utah transfer running back NaQuari Rogers is signing with West Virginia, his rep @agentjshields tells @On3. Was granted an injunction for a 5th year of eligibility earlier today in Indiana. He's rushed for 1,598 career yards and 11 TDs. on3.com/boards/threads/west-…
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0-2, desperate times call for desperate measures. We’re running 12 personnel this week
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Ray Carpenter retweeted
The Falcons are 0-2, but their D-line ranks 2nd in pass rush win rate through two weeks. Keep an eye on the trenches in tonight's Thursday Night Football game #DirtyBirds at #GoPackGo: (we might have a Thursday night slog on our hands) Mismatch in the O-line's favor: Falcons O-line (4th in pressure rate allowed) vs Packers D-line (24th in pass rush win rate) Mismatches in the D-line's favor: Falcons D-line (2nd) vs Packers O-line (17th) on pass plays Falcons D-line (5th in yards before contact allowed) vs Packers O-line (24th) on runs Packers D-line (7th) vs Falcons O-line (25th) on runs Rank of 32 teams through Week 2. Sources: @SumerSports and @PFF (average)
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ICYMI: a full analysis on the effects of heat on NFL players including things like defensive lineman rotations, penalty frequencies, and more. All on the spade dot Substack dot com today
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Golf Twitter friends: me and a buddy will be in the Rembert, SC area to play Broomsedge on Sunday 12/6. Where should we play on Saturday 12/5?
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Write-ups on football that take me a very long time to research: 1,000 views Harry Kane ragebait: 1.8 million views The people have spoken
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Ray Carpenter retweeted
Pleased to announce the launch of YUNO Sports, a data analytics site that my lovely wife and I built (literal mom and pop operation) The idea: sports data methods have lived with coding dorks for too long. YUNO is about empowering to do it yourself 🧵 yunosports.com/?v=2
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More college football tonight so here’s a look at the transfer portal route matchups for this week
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By my count Harry Kane is now 2 for 3 on field goals all time before you factor in stuff like wearing a helmet, weather, having a holder instead of a tee, having 11 huge guys try and block the field goal, etc.
I cannot think of a kicker I’d want less with the game on the line than Harry Kane but here’s him drilling a kick from 50yds off a tee 10 years ago
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More football today
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