AIRTABLE ACQUISITION: WHO GETS THE 💰 HOME // WHO GETS LEFT BEHIND? A breakdown below 👇
(Note: underlying returns and waterfall model built on the assumption of all rounds at standard 1.0x liq pref, non participating - and based on publicly available information)
First off, and I'm very glad about this one:
1) the Founders are likely taking real $ home 🙌💵:
- overall there was $960m of value left to converting holders (people who did not claim pref in the transaction)
- Assuming they still held 15% of the company at exit, Howie Liu, Andrew Ofstad, and Emmett Nicholas will share about $144m combined, so a cool c.~$50m each providing they had equal share
2) The core learning here: anyone investing after the Series C likely just got par on their money 📉...
- The problem is that the company raised too much money. So even the Series C at ~$1.1bn post likely had to claim the pref and took 1x multiple of money home
- Coatue, Thrive, Greenoaks and XN, the leads from Series C onwards probably just brough par home... The pref worked as intended, but this is certainly not the scenario they underwrote
3) Even in that scenario, the early investors made good money 💰💰💰:
- CRV likely got ~20x and ~6x on the Series A and B respectively. That's good money, even after 11 years for the Series A.
- The real winners are Caffeinated Capital: ~35x; Freestyle and Felix Shpilman, who probably sit on 50x+
Many assumptions were used to determine the below, and the waterfall model is of course directional, and based on publicly available information. It assumes no structure on the later rounds, and vanilla terms.
@HarryStebbings
@Kieranleehill (most fervent user of Airtable in our team)
@codorniou
@NiallKiely20VC