Decision researcher at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business. Only sometimes overconfident.

Berkeley, CA
Come join us at Berkeley-Haas! We're recruiting new faculty. aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF05…
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We need to build technology that facilitates human flourishing. @nate_fast and @J_R_Schroeder are on the job: psychoftech.substack.com/p/t…
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Berkeley-Haas is looking to hire a new manager for our behavioral research lab: careerspub.universityofcalif…
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If you're into open science, consider attending SIPS2026: improvingpsych.org/SIPS2026/ If you want to present, the submission deadline is coming up on January 30.
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Hey @sheratonhotels you're in the practice of cancelling guest reservations without cause or warning? I had a reservation at the Downtown Denver hotel, suddenly I get an email informing me it's cancelled?
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Just published in @JPubEcon: "Does the prospect of upward mobility undermine support for redistribution?" By @donandrewmoore, @ReneChoudhari, & @aileenwu_ sciencedirect.com/science/ar… #econtwitter #publiceconomics
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The inconsistencies we document, even between different measures of the same form of overconfidence, are hard to reconcile with a simple version of the claim that overconfidence is some sort of stable trait.
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I'm in the middle of this audiobook, and loving it. Highly recommended!
Hey look - Amazon editors pick for best new nonfiction!
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Stay skeptical, people.
The 2024 presidential campaign so far has been full of unexpected plot twists—and there’s still 12 weeks to go before the general election. 🗳️ Professor @donandrewmoore and his former student Aditya Kotak give the 101 on polling accuracy. #BerkeleyHaas haas.org/3X0PUCF
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On December 8th, our Berkeley journal club read a paper claiming that thoughts of God increased algorithm appreciation. Today, @PNASNews published our attempts to replicate those results. Spoiler alert: we fail to replicate the original claims pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.24…
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Okay, this is awesome. Thank you, @william_h_ryan, for making it so easy to back up my Qualtrics surveys and data!
I wrote a small script for backing up all your Qualtrics surveys (.qsf files + data) locally using their API, and figured it might be helpful for someone else. It could definitely be improved, but it worked for me as a way to have a backup just in case: github.com/whryan/qualtrics_…
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The Society for Judgment and Decision Making is pleased to announce that the latest newsletter is ready for download: sjdm.org/newsletters/ This issue contains announcements, conferences, and jobs!
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William James imagined that if he believed in himself, he would be more likely to successfully make a “bold dangerous leap.”
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But if the chasm were twenty feet wide, no amount of positive self-talk would get him across. Believing in yourself, if it prompts you to jump to your death, would qualify as a mistake—however much it displays an admirable confidence in your capabilities.
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