Singapore Chinese are far more status maxi and the cost of having children significantly reduces lifestyle and apparent status.
Assuming you have no kids, a reasonable upper middle class lifestyle probably includes:
- continental car
- 750 sq foot condo
- 2-4x holidays a year, at least one to Europe
- mostly eat out at restaurants / order in
The monthly run rate on this is something like
- $2500 on car loan + petrol etc
- $5000 on mortgage
- $3000 on food + groceries
- $2000 of fun money (shopping, omakase, holidays etc)
This is affordable for a DINK couple at 30 with 10k in employment income each.
Now assume you add two kids (because having one is very inefficient).
To stay in the same apparent SES bracket you must
- upgrade your condo to at least 1,000 sq feet for extra rooms
- put your kids in brand name pre-schools (Odyssey, Etonhouse, Mindchamp etc)
- add a domestic helper / maid
- bring your kids along for your holidays etc
This takes your monthly run rate to:
- $2500 on car loan + petrol (assuming no upgrade)
- $8000 on mortgage
- $4000 on food + groceries
- $1000 on maid
- $5000 on preschools + enrichment for two kids
- $3000 of fun money (cost of holidays go up)
for a whopping $23,500 per month.
In other words even your top 25% quartile double income couples at 30 years old (tail end of peak childbearing age) cannot afford the lifestyle they may have become accustomed to, until they are likely around 35+ (assuming their income keeps growing) and they achieve 1 in 7 household status.
Having children thus generally results in a downgrade in lifestyle, which Singaporean Chinese are less willing to accept. It particularly hits the women who have to take the shock of moving from glamorous office lady going cafe hopping and spin class with the girls to 'middle class' mother rushing home after work on weekdays and ferrying children to classes on weekends.
Based on anecdotal observation, whenever my friends are able to have children without downgrading their lifestyle (very high earners or generational wealth), they tend to do it.
Its those who cannot afford to do so that create endless copes about how much they hate children and prefer being child-free.
The Singapore Chinese population might be cooked
It’s no news that Singapore’s TFR has been declining sharply over the last couple of years
But what I found to be more interesting with this data was how the Chinese were significantly lower than the Malays and Indians
I asked Claude what was the reason behind this and basically:
> The Chinese have typically had a lower fertility rate for decades
> Chinese just aren’t getting married as much
> Financial aspirations across Chinese are much stronger
> Traditionally, the Chinese have a stronger focus on education, achievement, and intensive parenting, which makes each child “high cost” in time and money
Wonder if there will come a day where the Chinese suddenly becomes the minority
Because based on this data, in the long term, that’s gonna happen
(Excluding the PRCs that are moving in of course)