Every hour, half of the module's fees pay holders straight away. The other half is the stake.
For 45 minutes, holders vote on any open Jupiter prediction market: BTC up this hour? Lakers tonight? Fed cut in October? YES or NO.
The pick with the most weight (your balance = your vote) gets the stake. Ember buys the contracts on Jupiter Prediction.
Sold at +80%, stopped at half, or held to the result: every right contract pays $1.
Whatever comes back is the prize. 100% to holders, paid with the next holder round. Nothing to the creator, nothing to Ember.
Nobody voted? The stake waits for the next hour. Signed votes, no gas.
Example A: the pot puts $40 on "BTC up this hour" at 52¢. BTC closes up: 77 contracts × $1 = $77 to holders.
Example B: $40 on "Fed cuts in October" at 43¢. Odds climb to 80¢ before the meeting: sold at +86%, $74 to holders.
Example C: $40 on NO at 60¢. The market goes the other way: $40 lost, next hour a fresh vote. That's a bet.