Accidental Economist. Prof at @warwickecon and @unibonn. Visiting Prof @GRI_LSE. Fellow @STICERD_LSE. ERC STG. CEPR @cepr_org & Associate Editor @EJ_RES.

Very happy to participate at the British Academy-Leverhulme Trust funded Workshop on "Diversity and the Political Economy of Social Cohesion" over the next two days. Its an excellent workshop in sunny Uxbridge, I will be sharing the papers across the workshop.
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Jan Auerbach presents "Immigration and Productivity: Unpacking the Role of Spatial Sorting". They unpack a new way of looking at immigration: differential home bias btw migrants/natives can have large GE spillover effects on natives due to improved labor market matching.
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And that was a wrap. Many thanks to the excellent organization and careful curation of the workshop by Sugata Ghosh, Anirban Mitra and Sarmistha Pal and thanks to British Academy and Leverhulme for the funding. There was a lot of food for thought and lots of new connections.
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Most unfortunate typo...@harrypickard !
Replying to @fetzert
Harry Prickard is presenting work "Exposure to Populism and Zero-Sum Thinking". Essentially, they ask to what extent experience of populism growing up shapes zero-sum thinking. This effectively takes the work on zero sum thinking further into the cultural programming domain,...
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Now there is significant developments in Europe. On 21 September, the European Central Bank launched Pontes. The ECB’s new infrastructure for settling tokenised assets in central-bank money is explicitly framed around monetary sovereignty and reducing dependence on dollar stablecoins. The interesting question was always whether dollar dominance would erode only at the level of reserve assets, or also at the level of the digital infrastructure through which assets, payments and identities are mediated. Increasingly, these two dimensions seem to be moving together.
It hurts when you feel like you are in their heads but struggle explaining what is going on. This may turn out to be "spot on". Reducing the investibility of the US diminishes financial inflows domestically. Meanwhile, massive debt issuance in the EU—targeted at funding external security, climate action, and infrastructure—is building more liquid debt markets. This creates alternative investible assets amid a global savings glut. As this new asset class absorbs capital, other nations are effectively “socializing” their currencies and debt. The outcome is a more diversified global currency system with less dominance by the US dollar. Yet, the US is trying to counter this trend by leveraging stablecoins, exerting indirect control over payment systems, and deploying digital ID issuers—essentially attempting to “have its cake and eat it too.” This strategy raises deep concerns about sovereignty. The reliance on private entities with limited liability in opaque legal jurisdictions challenges traditional notions of state control and has, in practice, been weaponized by adversaries. If there is any coherent strategy behind what might seem like non-strategy (as suggested by Trump’s policies), it could be aimed at weakening the dollar’s role as a safe asset. Historically, crises tend to drive the dollar’s value up. However, deliberate policy uncertainty might reverse that trend—albeit at a high cost. A drop in the value of US-listed firms could dampen consumer spending through the wealth effect. While such a rebalancing might eventually benefit the economy, it would likely come with significant short-term costs.
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Canada is next. As of today it seems. Similar design, inter bank.
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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere retweeted
Go touch grass in Ukraine Much more than just drones If you’re investing in or building industrial tech, @fetzert and I will tell you what we saw and get you on the ground. Free, by invite, any builder from an allied country
I’ve been in Ukraine the last two weeks and didn’t have access to my X account Learned a ton Massive respect to the Ukrainian people, who are deeply misunderstood by many in the West Will write something up in a week or so
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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere retweeted
„Bullshit“ (Angebotsseite)? Meine Antwort wäre, dass Populisten – die sich, was ihre deskriptiven Merkmale betrifft (z.B. Ausbildung und Vermögen), kaum von den liberalen Eliten unterscheiden – sich mit dem Problem konfrontiert sehen, wie sie sich glaubwürdig eben von diesen
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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere retweeted
brings things back to good old geopolitics. The US is insisting in its trade agreements on terms that would rule out data localisation mandates. You can probably connect the dots from here & its hard to not feel somewhat sympathetic to some geopolitical stances in light of this.
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